Haven’t read a single sentence that better explains why campaigners are struggling to land blows on Farage than this from @Dannythefink and it chimes exactly with what hear day in/out - whatever Farage/Reform’s flaws many people don’t think it can be worse than what we have now.
@LeftieStats Do you know what makes your model so much more favourable to Reform + unfavourable to Labour than others? Not necessarily a criticism, just curious.
MRPs are an interesting snapshot of public opinion but for context we are about as far from the next election as this poll was from the 2024 one. Who knows what can happen in 5 years!
Reasons for Democrats' failure are clear
1) Biden stayed too long
2) Lack of primary process meant that Dems were denied opportunity to pick someone not associated with Biden/Harris denied opportunity to properly develop a message
3) Afghanistan withdrawal (Biden's polling never…
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