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Solid critique by @RichardTol
Also it uses RCP8.5 as a baseline to estimate the emergence of a signal of climate policy ~2050
Had they used a plausible baseline (e.g., SSP2-4.5 or lower) that signal of climate policy likely would not emerge until 2100 or later 🤷♂️
Solid critique by @RichardTol
Also it uses RCP8.5 as a baseline to estimate the emergence of a signal of climate policy ~2050
Had they used a plausible baseline (e.g., SSP2-4.5 or lower) that signal of climate policy likely would not emerge until 2100 or later 🤷♂️
Recall that the main problem with their specification is that it cannot be used for forecasting.
They cite a paper that shows you cannot use it for forecasting.
And they use it for forecasting -- while arguing in the same paper that you cannot do that.
Equation (4), let's call it Burke, assumes that the growth rate of the economy depends on the level of temperature.
This is a strange assumption.
It implies climate determinism: Heat causes poverty.
I'm excited to share a new paper in @ScienceAdvances led by UW's @VTCoop showing that the last ice age provides much stronger constraints on Earth's climate sensitivity and future warming when ice-sheet driven temperature patterns are accounted for. science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…
I guess we are in a one per day update mode now. Keep in mind, that the issue here is NWS IT leadership decided that it was OK that a bunch of IDP applications could only be run from College Park and not the Boulder datacenter.
I guess we are in a one per day update mode now. Keep in mind, that the issue here is NWS IT leadership decided that it was OK that a bunch of IDP applications could only be run from College Park and not the Boulder datacenter. https://t.co/eCft2DQzsq
Dubai just saw 1-2 YEARS worth of rain in a little over a day.
I'm seeing even reputable sources attributing this to cloud seeding. IMO this is disingenuous. There could be minor net benefits, but the actual cause of this is merely basic synoptic meteorology, as outlined below.
While cloud seeding and climate change are easy scapegoats for Dubai's extreme rainfall, probably the effects of urbanization + artificial islands 🏝 affected the seabreeze much more = increased flood potential.
Driving here in Atlanta requires maximum patience. While the knee-jerk reaction is to get upset, I always try and see the license plate. Today, I saw a Korean War veteran plate and did the math. This driver can do whatever he wants.
Hate to rain on your parade, but there's zero evidence that Dubai's cloud seeding adventures had any detectable effect on the area's disastrous flooding.
bnnbloomberg.ca/dubai-grinds-t…
Any preliminary but good VEI for Ruang? Previous eruptions in the 2-4 range, but this looks a little more significant. 🌋
Tropical volcanic eruptions are potential problems for global climate.
This fig via @AmyAHarder has shown up in my feed with claims that the much reduced GAST projections to 2100 are due to climate policy (Paris! Yay!)
You cannot make such a claim unless your analysis also controls for changed assumptions in underlying projective scenarios
Sorry!
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