Paul Sian @TheMacroAgent
Licensed #RealEstate & Contracts Attorney in OH, MI. Licensed #RealEstate Agent in OH, KY with UREHC. youtube.com/channel/UCIi7Q… Cincinnati, OH Joined October 2022-
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Paul Sian retweeted
Mortgage applications are down 34% from pre-pandemic levels. And is even worse than 2008.
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Paul Sian retweeted
UPDATE: Oracle still hasn’t acknowledged the mass layoffs. Employees are tracking the carnage by watching Slack accounts vanish. •Roughly 3,400 gone already from slack channel reports- insiders say closer to a 10% RIF, company-wide. •Cuts span entry SDRs to SVPs with 10+…
Paul Sian retweeted
Over the last 10 years, I never had a single tenant try to get out of their lease early. But this year alone, I've had three tenants reach out, telling me they have some sort of family emergency (in Mexico) and that they need to leave the U.S ASAP. Not good.
Paul Sian retweeted
You don’t realize how weak the economy is right now. If you have a job, hold onto it for dear life. Because if you get fired, it’s going to take you years to find another one.
Paul Sian retweeted
There's a massive amount of fear/uncertainty in the US right now - here's the situation: -Students from top schools can't find jobs -Credit card delinquencies surging -Tech & white collar layoffs rising -Middle/lower class getting squeezed -Dollar plunging -Fast food sales…
Paul Sian retweeted
There is a random guy named James Groth who the CME lists as a liquidity provider for Treasury Futures Block Trades… The crazy part is it’s just one guy.. not a company. You literally email him directly at his hotmail address to do a 10 million dollar trade. To put into…
Paul Sian retweeted
Residential electricity costs are near a record high, per Bloomberg:
Paul Sian retweeted
Gotta love the Zestimate doubling after this Sacramento property was listed for $2M. The algorithm chases the list price.
Paul Sian retweeted
Gold futures touched $3,600/oz ever so briefly a few minutes ago, on a massive up day Is this driven by an appreciation for gold’s true worth? Or is this a warning sign that something systemic is in big trouble?
Paul Sian retweeted
A slow-motion collapse is sweeping through commercial real estate. Office buildings are vacant, mortgages are defaulting, cities are broke. Taxpayers are quietly being lined up to take the fall. (a thread)
Paul Sian retweeted
Since ChatGPT was launched in Q422, S&P500 profit margins have been basically flat. If all of the layoffs and labor weakness were due to AI, profit margins would be soaring. They are laying people off to maintain margins. Not compatible with the AI story we are sold.
Paul Sian retweeted
The McDonalds CEO just gave a reality check for the US economy - and it's ugly for most Americans: "With middle and lower income consumers, they're under a lot of pressure. If you're upper income earning over $100k, things are good. Stock markets are near all time highs.…
Paul Sian retweeted
Worst job market in 20 yrs… yeah, I agree.
Paul Sian retweeted
JOLTS. Construction Quits. Leading indicator. At level not seen GFC.
Paul Sian retweeted
Hard to read this headline any other way than: "Problem created by too much government intervention to be addressed with more government intervention" reuters.com/world/us/besse…
Paul Sian retweeted
Builders in DFW are getting desperate. Interest rate buy downs are not getting the job done. 1.99% Year 1 2.99% Year 2 4.99% Fixed
Paul Sian retweeted
The months supply of US single-family homes increased to 5.3. This is the highest level since 2014 and higher than 18 of the last 26 years. (A balanced market is ~5-6 months supply).
Paul Sian retweeted
Paul Sian retweeted
Going to be a crazy day when the researchers finally confirm the housing shortage was just people keeping their current primary while buying a second home during the COVID interest rate lows
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