Your Current View @YourCurrentView
RTs of user current views. Take a picture and tweet it Joined March 2014-
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Your Current View retweeted
Lastly - Rate of Payment Delinquencies ✅ Prior to 1992 this data is murky since credit cards became the proxy for this stat but since 1992 if the rate of credit card delinquencies is trending higher Q1 2023 - 2.45% delinquency rate Q 2024 - 3.16% +28.9%
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Your Current View retweeted
#4 - CPI ✅ Is the average annual CPI higher or lower than it was last time the incumbent party was elected President YTD the average CPI is 3.2% in 2020 when Biden was elected it was 1.2% - so higher
Your Current View retweeted
#3 Recession ❌ In the last four years - or at any point during the incumbent's term was there a recession. There has been no recession under Biden.
Your Current View retweeted
#1 - The Unemployment Rate Trend ✅ Unemployment trending higher in an election year regardless of the total overall % rate was a trend that mattered Jan 2024 3.7% July 2024 4.3% +16.22% YTD
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Since 1956 if at least 3 out of 5 economic factors are present in the election year or preceding years the incumbent party lost the White House... every time!
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Nate Silver forecast model now gives Kamala Harris 54.8% chance of winning presidential election, a new high
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New FLORIDA poll by Suffolk/USA Today 🟥 Trump: 47% (+5) 🟦 Harris: 42% 🟨 RFK Jr: 5% 🟪 Other: 2% — Fav/unfav DeSantis: 52-43 (+9) Rubio: 47-40 (+7) Trump: 50-47 (+3) Harris: 44-50 (-6) R. Scott: 35-49 (-14) — #7 (2.9/3.0) | R41/D34 | 500 LV | 8/7-11 suffolk.edu/-/media/suffol…
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July Voter registration change - Pennsylvania 🔴 Republicans - +21,325 🔵 Democrats - +5,788
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Senate Poll - California 🔵 Schiff 66% (+33) 🔴 Garvey 34% ActiVote - 400 LV - 8/12
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Do you support tougher border policies
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2024 General Election: Morning Consult 🟦Harris 47% 🟥Trump 44% RCP Avg: Harris +1.1 This Day In History: August 13, 2020: Biden +7.4 August 13, 2016: Clinton +6.8 More:realclearpolling.com/polls/presiden…+ #poll #politics #election2024 #Trump #Harris #vote #polling @MorningConsult
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New GEORGIA poll by Impact Research (D)/Fabrizio (R), July 24-31 🟦 Kamala Harris 48% 🟥 Donald Trump 48%
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New NORTH CAROLINA poll by @cygnal for @CarolinaJournal 🟥 Trump: 47% 🟦 Harris: 44% 🟨 RFK Jr: 4% 🟪 Other: 1% — Governor 🟦 Stein: 43% 🟥 Robinson: 38% 🟪 Other: 4% ⬜ Undecided: 15% — #67 (2.1/3.0) | 600 LV | 8/4-5 | ±3.99% carolinajournal.com/polls/with-har…
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Average National Presidential Polling Lead: Harris +2.2% - August 10, 2024 -
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Nate Silver updated model Harris 46.5% Trump 44 % Harris +2.5%
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Nate Silver model 🔴 Trump 54.9% (Chance) (+10) 🔵 Harris 44.6% June 26 - 🔴 Trump +32
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General Election Poll - Arizona 🔴 Trump 48% (+5) 🔵 Harris 43% POS Strategies (🔴) #B+ - LV - 7
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General Election Poll - Nevada 🔴 Trump 46% (+1) 🔵 Harris 45% POS Strategies (🔴) #B+ - LV - 7/29
Your Current View retweeted
General Election Poll - Michigan 🔴 Trump 45% 🔵 Harris 45% POS Strategies (🔴) #B+ - LV - 7/29
Your Current View retweeted
General Election Poll - Wisconsin 🔵 Harris 48% (+2) 🔴 Trump 46% POS Strategies (🔴) #B+ - LV - 7/29
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