_Checkmate.btc šā”š¦¬ š checkonchain.com š @_Checkmatey1_
Lead On-chain Analyst for @glassnode Bitcoiner + Onchain Analyst + Macro Thinker Creator of https://t.co/eakDF4QQc7 Education + Knowledge + Experience == Edge capitalgainfx.com UTXO Joined May 2012-
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Now this is something I have been working on for a very long time. If you want serious edge in this market, pay attention to the beating heart of the chain. A full blown masterclass to learn how to properly apply each metric is coming in hot soon after. checkonchain.com
The level of stupidity required to not only carry around your hardware wallet, but to make it shine and stand out... We may very well need a bear to cleanse the market of these ideas.
The level of stupidity required to not only carry around your hardware wallet, but to make it shine and stand out... We may very well need a bear to cleanse the market of these ideas.
The Oct/Nov all-time high is the first time in #Bitcoin's history that new ATHs were reached *without* new highs in New Entities on-chain. We made all-time highs in bear market conditions, with zero retail, because *no one wanted to spend their BTC*. Let that sink in, skeptics.
The Oct/Nov all-time high is the first time in #Bitcoin's history that new ATHs were reached *without* new highs in New Entities on-chain. We made all-time highs in bear market conditions, with zero retail, because *no one wanted to spend their BTC*. Let that sink in, skeptics. https://t.co/shQISwaCMy
Sats stacked.
Are any #Bitcoin HODLers concerned about the massive double top that's forming in Bitcoin? It certainly appears that there's a significant risk of a major long-term peak. It's also coinciding with a general move out of high-risk assets to value. A crash below $20K seems likely.
Join me in my Space! @_Checkmatey_
Our government has banned... dancing...again. Lockdowns, that worked oh so well, incoming in short order. abc.net.au/news/2022-01-0ā¦
@_Checkmatey_ is talking about this ! Probability or # of days that price has been below a certain multiple of 200 DMA.
7/ Finally, we have coin liquidity. This maps coins based on their spending heuristics, not time HODLed. šµIlliquid supply speaks to sat stacking behaviour, coins flowing into cold storage wallets with little spending history. This metric is RIPPING higher, and looks great.
6/ Short Term Holders however are in trouble. They currently hold 18% of the supply outside exchanges, and a whopping 17.4% are at a loss. Interestingly, they have not capitulated yet...either stronger hands, or a headwind to work through
5/ Lastly, and my favourite concept, Supply Dynamics. Long Term Holders hold an enormous portion of supply, 82% of all coins outside exchanges. Their distribution is tiny making this very different, and more constructive vs May-July
3/ Supply in profit has fallen back to the ~70% zone, which was last defended in July at the $29k lows. Back then thbere was lots more distribution by top buyers capitulating One take: todays STHs have more grit and are HODLing Another take: big risk of STH capituilation supply
1/ Onchain activity is reasonably grim and low. It remains inside the 'bear market channel' observable in entities, addresses and tx counts. This reads as tourists have left the building, only HODLers remain
Be sure to tune into our first public Twitter Spaces of the new year, starting in ~1hr. Our analyst team @_Checkmatey_, @PermabullNino, and @TXMCtrades will explore current #Bitcoin market structure, and answer your questions at the end. Look forward to seeing you there.
Be sure to tune into our first public Twitter Spaces of the new year, starting in ~1hr. Our analyst team @_Checkmatey_, @PermabullNino, and @TXMCtrades will explore current #Bitcoin market structure, and answer your questions at the end. Look forward to seeing you there.
I expect this will continue to push to new highs almost every day for at least the next few months. The number of coins accumulated from DEC 2020 onwards was extraordinary
I expect this will continue to push to new highs almost every day for at least the next few months. The number of coins accumulated from DEC 2020 onwards was extraordinary
The TWU requested RATs from Fed Govt in October to keep truckies safe and minimise disruption to supply chains. They were ignored. Now up to half of all drivers are out because of COVID illness or isolation and empty supermarket shelves are becoming a frequent sight all over.
Thanks for the cheap sats, anon. $BTC sent straight to cold storage, just like all of these coins. Love me a good ol divergence. Let it run as hot and deep as you want, the reversal will be swift and powerful. Have seen this movie before.
#Bitcoin recovered from over 52% of the Hashrate dropping offline in a month last May. Incentives made it happen. No other industry or asset is resilient enough handle half of its industrial base getting unplugged overnight. The recovery from this drop will be no different.
Perps OI up 80k #BTC (~45%) All between $46k and $51k People flip flopping bias regularly Most coins spent at these levels are now breakeven coins Large distribution of coins being spent at these levels i.e. a lot changing hands Fresh lows just now, lets see what we get
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