_Jeffrey A. Hirsch_ @__AlmanaTrader
CEO Hirsch Holdings, Publisher Almanac Trader, Editor Stock Trader's Almanac | "Those who understand market history are bound to profit from it!" stocktradersalmanac.com White Plains, NY Joined December 2012-
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Bullish momentum continues. From @RyanDetrick on the pod last week.
S&P 500 logged first 9-day winning streak since November 2004. S&P 500 has gained 10.25% during the current streak. Largest gain of any 9-day or longer streak since 1930. Performance after past streaks mixed. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/782466396…
Players Have Changed But Election Year Path Endures jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/756808680…
Volatility should increase per the $VIX over the coming months, referencing long-term technical indicators; this hints at more frequent corrections within the $SPX bull cycle #fairleadstrategies
Last trading day of July leans bearish last 21 years. DJIA has been the weakest, down 13 times with an average loss of 0.29%. S&P 500 and NASDAQ nearly as weak, both down 12 times with average losses of 0.24% and 0.09% respectively. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/757440635…
No Escaping Historically Miserable August So much for positive election yr August. Biden out, stretched valuations, weak earnings, disappointing jobs, currency vol & geopolitics put stocks in deep hole & likely keep a lid on markets thru “Worst Months.” jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/758186112…
1968 Analog Resonates Not 1987. The mid-July pullback and 2024’s steep trajectory brings up the unsettling parallel to 1987 but 2024 is now closely tracking the 1968 trend. Both election years have a plethora of other comparisons. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/758637141…
Good morning everybody. Happy mid-August Rally. Just remember that the middle of August is stronger than the beginning and end. There’s likely some volatility ahead and we’ve got September looming. Good day.
Seasonality Works! Remember this? Dow 38820 published in 2011. When Yale Hirsch published the 1st Almanac in 1968 who would’ve thought these patterns & trends would still be working today? Get the 2024 & 2025 STAs for free! stocktradersalmanac.com/LandingPages/S…
Facts!
Course Correction August Delivers Election Year Rally. As predicted July pullback yielded Aug rally. lotsa chatter about seasonal troubles this time of year, my contrary antennae are purring. Expect chop & sideways next ~60 days likely test the lows jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/759636021…
First trading day of September strength has faded last 16 years. Since 1995, S&P 500 up 18 of 29, but down 9 of last 16. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/760071429…
Even in Election years, September is still a Problematic Month. DJIA down 11 of last 18 election-year Septembers with average loss of 0.5%. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/760616883…
Word.
Tough September Off to Rough Start. The Bull Market Is Still Intact but Wait for a Fatter Pitch. Ramped of election uncertainty, extended valuations, some big earning misses & a few troubling economic data points helped the worst month of the year deliver an opening blow. 1/5
No need to fear S&P 500 new all-time highs… until they cease. Since 1950 S&P 500 has averaged 18.3 new all-time highs per year. There have been 46 thus far in 2024 along with a 22.5% year-to-date gain. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/764599950…
Market Not Out of October Woods Yet. Rising 10-year Treasury yields spook market rally just as historically weak late-October stretch begins. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/764985812…
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