dave @davehanzhang
Professional like-er and retweeter Joined July 2011-
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The most obvious edge is when you know precisely who your counter-party is and precisely why they have to act in a way – usually constraints – that leads to your profit opportunity. You can then soften your certainty across both axes (counter-parties and behavior).
The most obvious edge is when you know precisely who your counter-party is and precisely why they have to act in a way – usually constraints – that leads to your profit opportunity. You can then soften your certainty across both axes (counter-parties and behavior).
Here's a recent example of something that looks like a reasonably precise edge. Sycamore Partners just acquired Walgreens Boots Alliance for $11.45 / share and non-transferable divested asset proceed ("DAP") rights. The DAP rights represent a potential payout of up to $3.00 per…
Foreign central banks now officially hold more gold than US Treasuries — for the first time since 1996. Let that sink in. If you think this buying streak is ending, just look at what happened in the 1970s. This is likely the beginning of one of the most significant global…
For those who classify trading as short-horizon vs investing as long-horizon, I have a question: large index rebalance traders start the next triple-witch trade almost a quarter in advance. Several commodity traders put on trades one year in advance of, say, NG demand. And…
1/8 Reuters: "China's top court ruling that makes it illegal for businesses and employees to avoid social insurance payments is stoking fears about jobs and the survival of small firms." reuters.com/sustainability…
Here’s your latest quarterly update on structured products: -Monthly issuance remains strong at $4-6B across U.S indices. - We’ve gone vertical since a lot of the issuance, driving some knock-outs, so dealers have been selling more Vega as those synthetic puts go away and new…
@minchoi I thought this can’t be true. So I tried. This is what I got. 👀
Words to live by
A person isn't born as a Ponzi schemer. A person becomes one as circumstances change. Raising money to buy BTC with equity, debt, or preferred wasnt a ponzi scheme when originally conceived and did people who couldnt buy BTC a real service. Now that practically anyone can…
🚨 BREAKING: President Trump is OPENLY GRILLING Jerome Powell to his face at the Federal Reserve Building in DC This comes after Trump found out the total for the renovations are actually $3.1 BILLION “What are all these overruns about?!" Holy CRAP this is an amazing watch 🤣
Here u go. Seven minutes of ISDAs and quotes in six way competition
Tableau and PowerBI are getting killed by free AI tools. Case in Point: Microsoft's AI Data Formulator. 100% free in Python. Let's dive in:
this image just caused me physical pain better fking enjoy june in case everything gets super annoying again
this image just caused me physical pain better fking enjoy june in case everything gets super annoying again
Putting together a thread-of-threads on options and derivatives. It's kind of hard because I never tag them with the stupid thread symbol (i hate it). If you have others of mine you like can you append them to the end please?
Another minor discovery today: PATTERNS, PREDICTIONS, AND ACTIONS by Hardt and Recht Covers a lot of interesting material: deep learning, generalization, causality, sequential methods. This is a book of *ideas* by two very good researchers. Free pdf online. Link in reply.
New actively-managed ETF listing Thursday May 16 Monopoly ETF Ticker: $MPLY Fees: 0.79% Companies that demonstrate Monopolistic Attributes or Oligopolistic with other companies. Strategy Shares ETFs: strategysharesetfs.com Effective prospectus: sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archiv……
What happened to the Taiwan dollar on May 2nd, and what does it mean for Taiwan and the global economy? And what should Taiwan do to limit the risks that any future move causes trouble in its huge life insurance industry? 1/
It’s crazy!

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