recovering CRE broker, over 1k transactions, across all asset classes. value add real estate sponsor. annon for my sanity, not yours. Earth.Joined July 2019
@stevehou0 Good stuff.
Here's a simple way to see it - 10yr across rate cutting cycles.
On avg, the typical 25 bp Fed cut lowers the 2y by ~17 bps and 10y by ~10 bp (7 bp steeper 2-10 curve).
Just a rule of thumb over time...
SoCal industrial investors…
June 2022: “Interest rates are going up. We are pencils down. Might as well take the summer off.”
June 2023: “Too much economic uncertainty; pencils still down. Might as well take the summer off.”
June 2024: “Not enough tenant demand. Waiting to…
Today is a "tell your grandchildren I was there" day in the bond market.
10-year yield
At its low today (which was technically last night) it was down 12.5 bps from Friday's close at 3.87%
It finished the day up 19 bps from Friday's close at 4.18%.
---
Instances when the…
Hey @UPS wild idea for you?
Should we build the worlds first drive thru UPS Store?
Think how convenient it would be for your Amazon return traffic to be able to drop off a parcel through the window without leaving the customers vehicle.
Maybe we co-brand with @DutchBros??
I’m convinced that if @elonmusk licensed the Tesla database road data from Tesla to insurance companies and cities.
They would use AI to survey, prioritize and aggressively Report every unsafe roads/pothole to make road repairs WAY more efficient.
Saves everyone money, makes…
JP Morgan asset manager Bill Eigen absolutely kills it on inflation.
He suggests maybe we are at the neutral rate on bonds right now?
He just nails it all period.
I guess that’s why he runs $20 billion.
Well worth watching👇
resi agent: “hello, is this office still available?
cre agent: “yes, what industry is your client in?”
resi agent: “WHAT IS THE COMMISSION?”
cre agent:
Everyone’s freaking out and the s&p is today where it was…*checks notes* … 6 months ago.
If you can’t stomach a reversion to the mean on 6 months of gains above the then ATH, maybe you should sit this out.
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