AtmoSphere Analytics @AtmoAnalytics
Numerical Weather Prediction and Artificial Intelligence. MMFS | HazCast | STORM-Net | HurricaneVision Acquired by OpenSnow in 2024 mesoscaleforecast.com USA Joined May 2023-
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Exciting News: StormNet is now available on @OpenSnow! -Hourly tornado, lightning, damaging wind, and hail forecasts to 7 days into the future -Super-res radar -Freely available for testing! Check it out now on OpenSnow web, available soon on mobile. Learn more below 🧵
Exciting news! Just over a year ago, my company launched STORM-Net, a model that revolutionized tornado forecasting with unmatched accuracy and lead times. Its success turned heads.. by April, local and national TV networks, weather apps, and top private companies in the weather…
A severe weather outbreak is possible across the Deep South tomorrow! Now is a perfect time to subscribe to the AtmoSphere Analytics premium subscription! The base plan starts at only $8.99 per month and helps us with server costs & model development. 🧵
STORM-Net runs 24/7, providing precise 1hr and 3hr tornado & severe wx forecasts every 2 minutes.. even when tornadoes or severe wx aren’t really expected.
Latest forecast from WxAssistant, available on our website, for Tampa, FL Very cool!
Pretty tight agreement among the 12z FuXi AI-ENS members for #Milton. Experimental guidance for evaluation purposes.
Really cool new tool: AI Super Ensemble.. I ran Pangu-Weather and FourCastNet initialized with each GEFS member and produced a plot of tracks for #PTC9.. also produced probabilistic forecasts from this super-ensemble. Obviously, this is an experimental product.
Screenshots from an exciting new feature coming to the Weather Toolkit mobile app! (Location is Jackson, MS) Expecting to launch the app within a few weeks.
STORM-Net 1hr tornado probabilities at various lead-times prior to significant tornadoes & deadly tornadoes this year so far.. Probabilities start increasing 70-80 minutes prior to tornadogenesis and average at around 45% 30min prior to tornadogenesis. Keep in mind that most…
STORM-Net Lead-time Evaluation for Wind and Hail for spring/summer 2024.. can see that STORM-Net wind/hail typically has a 55min+ lead-time.. Median probs 30 min prior to the severe hazard is 75%/70% (wind/hail). The scores improve when only considering sig hazards (65kt+/2"+)
Storms across NE #ALwx carry the potential for damaging winds and small hail over the next hour. Tornado threat is low.
Severe storms w/ damaging winds are likely across the NW #ARwx area over the next hour! Here's STORM-Net's 1hr damaging wind probabilities overlaid with KSRX radar. Hail is also possible. Tornado threat is low at this time.
Heavy rain is expected across the SE US with #Debby.. flooding will potentially be widespread and severe. We’ve been working hard to add new features to WxToolkit. Included now are WPC & GEFS 72hr precip predictions.. easy to view & navigate on PC or mobile! More features 🔜
Notice, also, the new ML model added called “SUPER” (pink). “SUPER” is a statistical bias-correcting ML model that considers the last few runs of data and bias corrects based on how well each model has been performing.
Latest HurricaneVision forecast w/ 12z spaghettis overlayed. I’ve toggled on specific models that I’d like to see, as you can see on the legend. This is a part of WxToolkit — a new weather data interface. It’s free to the public, link is below.
Check out the tropical page of the WxToolkit, our new all-in-one weather data visualization tool! Features: -Toggle on/off individual models or model categories. -Interactive and zoomable-- zoom to street level if you wish! -Rapidly-updating: synced up with model data to present…
Latest HurricaneVision machine learning forecast products for future #Debby : This includes our new control member deterministic forecast output!
HurricaneVision’s latest forecast for #Beryl .. along with point intensity probabilities along track. Remains slightly south of model guidance, though I will note that model guidance has shifted south from yesterday to today, falling more in line with AI models.
HurricaneVision has been running hourly since ~00z last night for Invest 90L! Here are the latest track & intensity forecasts. The intensity forecast is "blank" because it is forecasting a most likely intensity of less than TS force. The area in the western Gulf is the model…
Exciting news! We at @AtmoAnalytics are excited to announce our newest model: NimbusAI. NimbusAI is a state-of-the-art super resolution meteorological simulator that uses deep learning to deterministically predict the evolution of near-term precipitation & convective phenomena.…
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