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Rather than blind accumulation into MSTR, since Strategy’s first BTC buy in Aug 2020, a simple filter of skipping the 10% most overvalued STH MVRV days would’ve outperformed straight DCA.
Same capital, stronger returns.
Full breakdown in my latest article (link below):
If MSTR had avoided buying when the MVRV was in its top 20% of overvalued days and deployed capital during cooler periods, they’d be holding nearly 50,000 more BTC.
At current prices, that’s over $5.5B in additional Bitcoin!
Full breakdown in my article (link below):
Using Metcalfe’s Law to value Bitcoin gives us a current 'fair value' of ~$63k.
Valuation bands put overvalued at ~$130k.
Historically, BTC has run far above this level with past cycle peaks pointing to $176k–$240k if repeated.
Full analysis in my recent article (link below):
Bitcoin treasury companies like Strategy have recently cumulatively surpassed over 1 MILLION BTC accumulated! 💸
However, with just a slight tweak to their buying they could now be holding SIGNIFICANTLY MORE bitcoin for the same $ invested… 🤔
Full analysis video here: 👇
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