ANU CAMA @CAMacroAnalysis
Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis CRICOS provider 00120C cama.crawford.anu.edu.au Australian National University Joined August 2014-
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Why does the Euro Area run a trade surplus? CAMA WP 50/2025 shows persistent productivity gaps between EA & RoW is a key driver. Read 👉bit.ly/4p9F4qc @ANUCrawford @EU_Commission @DIW_Berlin @VIVES_KULeuven @ecares_ulb @UPECactus
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🚨 CAMA WP 49/2024 explores how future productivity growth in developing Asia could impact the region and the world—highlighting the role of private investment responses. #Productivity #AsiaEconomy Read more 👉 bit.ly/4g3g7IO @ANUCrawford @RBAInfo
📢 Webinar | The Global Economic Impacts of Tariff Wars with Warwick McKibbin 🗓️ Sept 17, 2025 | 12–1:30pm ET Check out the event details 👉 bit.ly/47QJega Register free (limited spots) 👉 bit.ly/3JtL9xf @ANUCrawford
🚗⚡✈️ CAMA WP 48/2025 by @AWiskich explores how autonomous & electric vehicles — and a carbon tax — could reshape long-run demand for personal domestic air travel in Australia. #ClimateAction #ElectricVehicles #AviationEconomics 👉 bit.ly/419BVwd @ANUCrawford
📄 CAMA WP 47/2025: In India, most jobs are informal. Using a NK-DSGE model with segmented labour markets, this paper finds that greater labour formality enhances monetary policy transmission. Read the full paper 👉 bit.ly/45cbjNt @ANUCrawford @RBI @NYUAbuDhabi
With inflation on target & labour market softening, CAMA’s RBA Shadow Board is clearly shifting toward a cash rate cut to 3.6% 📉 #RBA #InterestRates Read more 📷 bit.ly/3Javbbd @ANUCrawford @ANUmedia
📰CAMA WP 46/2025: Global sustainable investment funds amplified the reach of the US Inflation Reduction Act, boosting cross-border climate investments—especially in well-prepared economies. 🌍💹 #ClimateFinance #IRA 👉bit.ly/3Hgmmft
📊 CAMA WP 45/2025 studies whether real-time online list prices can enhance timely nowcasts of housing transaction prices 🏘️#HousingMarket #Nowcasting 👉Read the paper: bit.ly/3J7d3Pj @ANUCrawford @Sydney_Uni
🌍 CAMA WP 44/2025 explores how EMDEs—led by China, India & Brazil—have reshaped global growth over the past 25 years. But rising headwinds pose new risks. 👉Read more: bit.ly/4lfyUle @ANUCrawford @WorldBank
📢 New CAMA Working Paper 43/2025 by Martin Feldkircher @DA_vienna and Christos A. Makridis @ASU, studies how central bank speeches shape household sentiment. Read more 👉bit.ly/4lRCva5 @ANUCrawford
Warwick McKibbin joins ABC Listen to discuss the US-EU tariff deal—15% US tariff on most EU goods. 🎧 ab.co/452qgjL @ANUCrawford @PIIE
🔋 Copper & lithium are vital for the energy transition—but their supply chains are exposed to serious geopolitical risk. CAMA WP 42/2025 (by @JVespignani et al) finds strategic stockpiling, AI & recycling can reduce future shortfalls. 📄 Read more: bit.ly/4m6bm2Q
📢 The CAMA June 2025 Newsletter (Issue 75) is out! Catch up on new research, working papers, events & more 📊📚 🔗 bit.ly/3GMpLlY
📄 CAMA WP 41/2025 (H Lee & JW Lee) develops a cross-country index of tertiary education quality and examines its macroeconomic impacts using institutional indicators and graduate earnings data. Read more🔗 bit.ly/4kJA6Nu @ANUCrawford @CIESWUFE @koreaUniversity
🎓 Congratulations to CAMA PhD scholar Rubayat Chowdhury on completing his PhD! His award will be conferred tomorrow on 16 July 2025, with a thesis on Commodity Shocks, Uncertainty, and Sources of Business Cycles. Rubayat is now a researcher at @devpolicy at @ANUCrawford. 👏
📄 CAMA WP 40/2025 by @ginbuss & @guidotraf : What if central bank misjudge how long cost-push shocks last? 🤔 This study analyzes effectiveness of look-through policies central bank adopts under uncertainty Read more 🔗 bit.ly/44tE1sP #MonetaryPolicy #Inflation
📘 CAMA Working Paper 39/2025 by @KamiarMohaddes et al examines how climate policies shape low-carbon innovation and how this innovation impacts economic growth 🌱 📖Read the paper 🔗 bit.ly/4m7KnUT #ClimateEconomics #Innovation @ANUCrawford @IMFNews @Cambridge_Uni
📈 Warwick McKibbin on ABC Business: Australia’s neutral rate is ~4% without shocks, but 🇺🇸 US trade policy & 🇨🇳 China tariffs fuel global uncertainty. 🔗 bit.ly/4ktnn0Y 🧠 More insights from the CAMA RBA Shadow Board: 🔍 bit.ly/4ljZ3zY @ANUCrawford
How did the @federalreserve’s communication change during #COVID19 vs past crises? More reactive, “communication-first,” and even anticipating virus waves. Text mining reveals the shift: 📊 Data: bit.ly/40DFNoO 📝 Read CAMA WP 38/2025: bit.ly/4eAdRYE
On CNBC’s The Global Reset, Warwick McKibbin unpacks Trump’s tariffs, the mega tax bill & risks for emerging markets 🌍📉 🎥 Watch: bit.ly/44Atkne #GlobalEconomy #TradePolicy #Tariffs @ANUCrawford @ANUmedia @PIIE
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