Capdrift @Capdrift

Senior Portfolio Manager (10+ years) sharing institutional-grade analysis on global markets and individual stocks. Subscribe for my best insights. No hype. ⬇️ capdrift.com Joined August 2025

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Capdrift @Capdrift

a week ago

So… $NVDA - a bit disappointing tbh. Still massive numbers and a fabulous company, but they did miss their bogeys. Now people will question for how long this growth rate is possible, or if AI spend will decelerate. Can the SaaS etc actually make some money out of AI, or will…

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Capdrift @Capdrift

a week ago

Bogey for $NVDA FQ3 revenue guidance seems to be ~$55bn, vs Street (i.e. sell-side analysts) at $52.8bn. I will also look at what's included in the guidance (is China?) and what they say about China overall. It's not that big (~$8bn / quarter), but it can tip the scale

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Capdrift @Capdrift

a week ago

The AI-trade were on again today. Also $NVDA tomorrow. Have to admit that I’m a bit nervous - will set the sentiment for the market in the coming weeks. I posted my preview and thoughts on Nvidia earlier today, but what are your thoughts?

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Capdrift @Capdrift

2 weeks ago

$TSLA made its comeback in Goldmans ’Hedge Fund VIP’-basket after being absent for three years. Interesting. My guess is that they are expecting a near-term trigger in terms of Robotaxi

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Capdrift @Capdrift

2 weeks ago

My early take on $NVDA - a bit cautious tbh. Don’t really like the setup going into earnings with stock trading near all-time highs. I’ll be dropping my full preview tomorrow with all the bogeys and what I’m looking out for in the earnings report. Stay tuned.

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Capdrift @Capdrift

2 weeks ago

Interesting price action in $BTC at the moment. It’s trading right around the same levels as before Powells speech at Jackson Hole. I usually look at BTC over the weekend to get a understanding on what price action to expect in $SPX and $NDX on Monday. Suspecting we will trade in…

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Capdrift @Capdrift

2 weeks ago

I wonder how $INTC will trade in the coming days. Will people take Fridays news as a ”Trump put” and send the shares soaring, or will people realize that Trump / the administration might just suddenly want another 10% of the company and keep diluting the shares? Since this is…

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Capdrift @Capdrift

2 weeks ago

I’m thinking of doing a preview post of $NVDA earnings on Tuesday (earnings on Wednesday), where I list the bogeys and what I’m focused at when looking at the earnings. Would you be interested in something like that?

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Capdrift @Capdrift

2 weeks ago

Saturday is usually my time off from both the market and X. But had to share a couple of thoughts on what happened this week, and will share some more thoughts on the week to come in a post tomorrow. i. Powells speech yesterday was more hawkish than people realize ii. The…

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Capdrift @Capdrift

2 weeks ago

* INTC says yes to exchange 10% for the CHIPs act cash - not looking for a controlling stake

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Capdrift @Capdrift

2 weeks ago

Just a warning to everyone - there are many scams out there, I just got approached by one with lots of followers: @ecommerceshares They use pump-and-dump techniques via Telegram (or similar) and advise you to use leverage to pump up the price of a stock they have already bought,…

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Capdrift @Capdrift

2 weeks ago

Mid-day trading update - I’m the first to admit that this is not the way I thought it was going to play out. But I still think the market is going to realize what just happened (Powell flagging risks of stagflation). My portfolio not performing well today (but no disaster) on a…

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Capdrift @Capdrift

2 weeks ago

Almost every basket in the green as of now but that can change quickly later on in the this trading session due to Jackson Hole. A short and small relief after a couple of days in the red. I still don’t like the trading setup from here and a month forward.

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Capdrift @Capdrift

2 weeks ago

Today’s initial trading will just be a non-event, everyone waits for Powell. And Trump making an announcement shortly thereafter. I wonder what’s on his mind right after Jay has held his speech…

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Capdrift @Capdrift

2 weeks ago

A bit calmer today but still risk off. High beta, bitcoin sensitive, housing etc still lagging, but might be the last leg down this week. Tomorrow will be a little bit greener, don’t think people want to be short over the weekend so they’ll probably close those tomorrow, creating…