Cedo Market Analysis @CedoMktAnalysis
Concise technical analysis/mkt commentary of futures, stocks, commodities. 30 yrs worth of insight and cynicism. Don't follow if you don't trade. Seriously. cedomarketanalysis.com Joined January 2012-
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US, UK and France consult on SPR release...tech breakout looms for May crude...check it: cedomarketanalysis.com
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Cedo Market Analysis retweeted
Via Bloomberg: 10 year US Treasury yield has risen for 9 days in a row. Last time it rose for 10 days was 1974, post OPEC oil embargo.
Chatter of a BoA/ML research report o/n titled the "Great Rotation" - sell bonds/buy equities...haven't seen it personally.
TYM2 above key level but price action sucks early - where we close today will dictate what we do next week. Check it: cedomarketanalysis.com
Who will lend to EU banks when so many assets are pledged elsewhere? reuters.com/article/2012/0…
NFP parameters for TYM2, USM2 and 10s30s at: cedomarketanalysis.com Mkt leaning into payrolls with a distinct curve steepening bias...
Bunds drop on Draghi comment that inflation will likely stay above 2%.
Also rumors of an NFP leak that's an upside surprise (>250k) but no specifics and Greek PSI could go as high as 90%...currently 77-79%...
Chatter of a 10k buy stop in esh2 at 1361 very early this morning (4:14ET)...1 min chart with volume:
LTRO2 funds land at the ECB, not in carry trades...uhoh. Risk off. ECB depo facility jumps to new record E821b:
BUNDs ($RXH2) waffle at key level - a true technical inflection pt. cedomarketanalysis.com
$TYM2 now lead 10yr future...recent rally tiring...s-t range s/b 130-26/131-18...past mth end and BB, curve steepens...
Bund futures ($RXH2) face a potential technical reckoning this week...check it: cedomarketanalysis.com
Feb 3, 2012...Cedo says buy $AKRX $11.50/12.00 - check it: cedomarketanalysis.com
Longer dated (10s, 30s) Treasury tech update: cedomarketanalysis.com
Jay Leno: "Italian authorities seized $6t of fake, worthless Tbonds-good counterfeit job, they look just like the genuine worthless Tbonds."
Also, IMF's involvement remains uncertain & bond holders haven't agreed to the deal, strong risk of a CDS trigger. Kick can, rinse, repeat.
Athens able to pay E14b due 3/20, but mkts remain wary of implementation -Samaras already hinting "policy modifications might be required"
Bunds are trading a bit higher into the NY session this morning as Greece's 2nd bailout deal has failed to convince mkts.
The 2nd Greek bailout: 10 unanswered questions openeurope.org.uk/Article?id=8497
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