$SPX - From a rally perspective, another round of demand could easily pull the S&P 500 higher and into new highs—a scenario we’ve seen repeatedly over the past few months.
👉 One thing to note: the last bounce, while it did produce a slight new high, did NOT generate a…
The Semiconductors (SMH) have had a substantial run-up from the April Low (purple line) and have now broken the uptrend (purple rectangle). SMH remains in a tight range, and NVIDIA (NVDA) earnings are now out of the way.
MACD (middle chart), a measure of momentum, remains on a…
@SteveSaretsky Math!
Affordability wasn't even that bad in 2020. 40 years of falling rates, allowed the price to rise while the payment didn't change that much.
But what happens when we reach the zero bound and the 40 year trend of falling rates is broken?
FAFO is my guess.
FRIDAY A LONG WEEKEND PCE
A GOOD REASON TO COOL THE MARKET OFF IF NEEDED AND RATE CUTS GET WOBBLY
SOME GOOD REASONS TO CARRY TUES/WED PUTS or VIX CALLS for NEXT WEEK.
🔑 FIB Timelines (Fibonacci Time Extensions)
FIB BAR 144 = 10/30
$SPY Anchored off the 4/7 LOW
Concept: Instead of price levels, Fibonacci is applied to time cycles — measuring bars (days/weeks/months) from a key pivot low or high.
Key Levels: 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377…
$SPX - The support and resistance levels continue to be impressively precise. Choppiness is normal in overbought conditions, and today's bounce occurred right at the central weekly level shared with subscribers on Friday. For any significant pullback to begin, that "line in the…
I’ve been asked who are some of the long time traders I follow? Here’s a list of several. I’ll post others in the future. Some of these people have 40+ years experience trading. Lots of wisdom & great content from these folks: @StealthQE4@AnthonyCrudele@CordovaTrades…
In our latest @CarsonResearch blog, I explain why the Fed can indeed cut rates with stocks near ATHs. I also discuss why under the surface there are clues some seasonal weakness is quite likely.
carsongroup.com/insights/blog/…
$SPX Lots of worry about we're due for a correction, Breadth is not there, September is coming up.But, This chart says not to panic. Until the $NYHL starts to detriorate, err on the long side. The 24d EMA at least has to roll over to raise the warning flags. It's pointing UP.
I put a post up last night about buying the $SPY 610 puts at the end of December.
I got called a retard.
I got caught a f****.
I got called a moron and was told I was going to lose my whole portfolio?
I was told I should retreat to my mother's basement....... Ok
One guy…
I think there is a 30% chance that BTC has topped for this bull market cycle. Next stop then back to $60k to $70k by Nov 2026, then next bull thrust to $500k
I think there is a 30% chance that BTC has topped for this bull market cycle. Next stop then back to $60k to $70k by Nov 2026, then next bull thrust to $500k
Today's "hot" PPI is just a graze...
#1: since late-2022, every dip has been bought
#2: since late-2022, every dip has been bought
#3: since late-2022, every dip has been bought
With regard to today --> see point #1
Today's "hot" PPI is just a graze...
#1: since late-2022, every dip has been bought
#2: since late-2022, every dip has been bought
#3: since late-2022, every dip has been bought
With regard to today --> see point #1
I'm buying $SPY puts tomorrow 6 months out. This move higher has absolutely no basis and is crazy over bought!
I'm buying:
31 DEC 2025 610 put for $11.50
You’re not addicted to trading.
You’re addicted to being almost right.
Thread 1/8
Most traders think they’re chasing profits.
They’re not.
They’re chasing the dopamine that comes from thinking…
“This trade will work.”
Here’s the dark psychology behind why you keep…
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