Pirow @DanielPirow

Yield Curve Secrets The bond market’s yield curve is one of the sharpest recession predictors. When short-term yields rise above long-term ones (inversion), it signals stress: the Fed is too tight, banks can’t lend profitably, and slowdown risks climb. The 2s10s spread flashes…

The U.S. economy added only 22,000 jobs in August, far below the ~75K expected. At the same time, unemployment ticked up to 4.3%, signaling a cooling labor market. Markets are now leaning toward the Fed cutting rates sooner and more aggressively, as weak employment data…

Markets are almost fully convinced the Fed will cut rates at the September 17 meeting. CME data shows a 97.6% chance of easing, just 2.4% for no change, and 0% odds of a hike, with the current target rate sitting at 4.25%–4.50%. Liquidity expansion is the clear market…

Ethereum’s validator entry queue has hit ~860,000 ETH, the highest since the Shanghai upgrade, signaling reduced liquid supply as more ETH gets locked for staking. With validator participation expanding and institutional capital flowing in, demand is outpacing available ETH. The…

Any thoughts?

September is historically BTC’s weakest month: – Avg return: –5% – 7/10 past Septembers closed red – Liquidity tightens → more chop, less fuel Traders expect red, panic sells amplify, and bearish headlines flood the space. But historically, these dips often set the stage for Q4…

The Fear & Greed Index is more than fear vs. greed — the key is how often price tests the red line (~55–60). Multiple touches on the way up mean dips are bought but sentiment hesitates → bullish fuel. Repeated touches on the way down signal exhaustion and likely corrections.…

Options Expiry & Why It Matters This Friday, $BTC and $ETH options worth $14.6B are set to expire, which can create significant volatility. Options are contracts giving traders the right, but not the obligation, to buy (calls) or sell (puts) at a set price before expiry. This…

🚨 Liquidation Wave Hits Crypto In the past 24 hours, nearly $942M in leveraged positions got wiped out, with longs taking the biggest hit at around $832M, while shorts saw roughly $110M liquidated. With volatility spiking, the market is hunting liquidity in both directions.…

Heading toward the $BTC CME gap?

Bitcoin Whale Triggers Flash Crash A massive whale offloaded 24,000 BTC worth over $2.7B, causing a sharp $4,000 Bitcoin drop within minutes. Despite the sell-off, the whale still holds a staggering 152,874 BTC, valued at more than $17B. Markets are watching closely to see if…

$ETH’s Explosive Q3 #Ethereum has skyrocketed 90% in Q3, making it one of the strongest market performers this quarter. Institutional demand is surging thanks to spot ETH ETFs, on-chain activity is booming, and staking growth continues to fuel bullish sentiment. With upcoming…

ETH hit a fresh all-time high but faced a sharp rejection from the $4,626 – $4,870 resistance zone. This is typical ETH behavior, a breakout, quick pullback, and consolidation before the next leg higher. The key now is building a strong support base. If ETH flips the red box…

Today’s Spotlight: Fed Chair Jerome Powell takes the stage at 10:00 AM ET during the Jackson Hole Symposium. Markets are on edge as traders look for clues on rate policy, inflation, and the economic outlook. Expect heightened volatility as every word can shift liquidity flows.…

$BTC just grabbed liquidity around 114,500 and showed a clear rejection off the Oracle line. If we close daily below the Oracle line → downside opens fast. For now, we expect a bounce from the Oracle line. Join our community Link in bio

Coinbase just dropped a big headline, calling for altcoin season in September. But here’s the catch: when major players broadcast bullish narratives this far ahead, it often means the market has already priced in the expectation. In practice, these announcements can act as exit…

Most traders lose money in crypto not because of bad entries… but because they have zero money management. If you don’t know how to size positions, protect capital, or survive $BTC volatility you’re playing a losing game. That’s why I dropped a FREE full money management guide…

$BTC | From Range-Bound to ATH, Now Back in the Middle In the past few weeks, BTC lost Support Box 1 and even rejected from Support Box 2, keeping price stuck in the green range. The expectation was to remain between these two supports, but a high-volume breakout candle…

Standard Chartered has doubled down on its Ethereum outlook, now projecting $7.5K by year-end and $25K by 2028 — a sharp jump from its previous $4K and $7.5K calls. Analyst Geoff Kendrick cites three main drivers: 1️⃣ Aggressive institutional accumulation — Public companies and…

Why The Oracle Believes in #Ethereum Ethereum remains the core settlement layer for DeFi, NFTs, and on-chain activity, powered by rapid L2 growth and strengthened by institutional inflows via spot ETFs. Staking yields make ETH uniquely productive, while its unmatched developer…