Undervalued Assets @DecodeTheSignal

Gold will soar to $5,000 if the Federal Reserve loses its independence says Goldman Sachs 🚨🚨🚨

New record repo (SOFR) volume of $2.947 trillion. Reserves are $3.225 trillion as of last week. Repos to reserves ratio back over 90%.

🚨 Margin debt just hit a fresh all-time high: $1.022 trillion. The market is on fire, but so is the leverage behind it. This is one of the most dangerous signals in the markets right now. ( a thread)

54 years after gold was cut loose, the foundation of global finance isn’t stone — it’s stacked promises. 📉 Reverse repos < $100B = no brake on collateral reuse. 🔥 SOFR volumes > $2.7T = system chained to daily rollovers. ⚠️ 10 Year Swap Spread deeply negative = liquidity in…

🚨 Risk-On Without a Net 🚨 Silver’s positioning + the Fed’s RRP drain = the most fragile “risk-on” rally in years. 🔹 Commercials (smart money) cutting shorts & adding longs = bullish undercurrent. 🔹 Hedge funds trimming longs, OI falling = consolidation before a move. 🔹 RRP…

🚨 Reverse repos have cratered to just $33.8B — down from trillions two years ago. That doesn’t mean relief. It means the Fed’s “safety net” is idle while collateral is unleashed into a market that can lever, recycle, and rehypothecate it without limit. 10Y Swap Spread: –24.6…

🚨 The Fed’s endgame is showing. 📌 Floating $750B+ gold reval — from $42 → over $3,300/oz — without selling a gram. 📌 SOFR overnight leverage: $2.804T (near record, new highs every few months). 📌 RRP cushion: $57.2B (2nd lowest this year). 📌 SLV borrow cost +54% (0.70%…

🚨 RRP AT $57.492B — LOWER THAN FEBRUARY’S FLOOR 🚨 The Fed’s “shock absorber” for collateral is now razor-thin — 2nd lowest this year. This isn’t just low liquidity… it’s the patch to a patch wearing through. 🔴 Feb: Sub-$100B RRP → March selloff 🔴 Now: LOWER RRP, SAME…

In the month of July, the US Government collected $338 Billion. Just one problem… They spent $630 Billion. A $291 BILLION deficit. In one month.

The US Treasury just dropped its July 2025 report. More than 1 out of every 4 tax dollars last month went to interest payments. No new projects. No added benefits. Just interest. (a thread)

When BOTH foundations crack — modern Treasuries & ancient silver — the system trembles. 🔻 10Y swap spread deeply negative 💥 SOFR-OIS blown out 🏦 Swiss franc reserves +340% in a quarter 📈 Japan’s 30Y yield close to all-time highs 🥈 Silver borrow costs surging Fault line’s…

My view is that buying and holding real estate is not an effective investment strategy in our current economic environment, for a few reasons. 1) Real estate is more interest rate sensitive than it is inflation sensitive, so given our current circumstances it is likely to go…

Silver’s Pressure Cooker: Collateral Vanishes 🩸 RRP: $80.3B — under $100B in 5 of last 6 days. SLV borrow: 0.93% CTB, ~500k shares vs 6.4M last week (–92%). Last time this combo hit? Feb 2025 → weeks later, the March/April selloff ripped through markets.…

🚨 Two red gauges. One fragile system. 📉 Debt scarcity: Reverse Repos < $100B for 5 of last 6 days — last time this happened (Feb), we got the March–April selloff. 🥈 Silver scarcity: SLV borrow rate surging, shares vanishing, price ripping $37.10 → $38.54 in a week. Same…

If anyone needed any proof beyond any doubt that those in charge of the monetary system have absolutely no idea that the dollar is a gold derivative, I give you tariffs on Swiss gold bullion. The end game just took another leap forward.

🚨 Two Collateral Shortages. One System. 📉 RRP under $100B → Scarcity in overvalued sovereign debt collateral. 📈 SLV borrow rate spiking → Tightening supply in undervalued, intrinsic-value metal. One is propped up by engineering. The other can only be fixed by…

🚨 The $91B RRP Collapse: The System Is Whispering Before It Screams 🚨 Reverse Repos just dropped below $100B for 3 of the last 4 days. This isn't a policy move. It's a liquidity cry for help. Here’s what it really means 🧵 When RRP vanishes, 2 things might be true: → The…

🚨The Federal Reserve just cracked open the gold revaluation playbook! In a new research note, it outlines how governments have unlocked cash by revaluing their gold reserves without selling a single ounce. On August 1, the Fed published a research note: 👉 “Official Reserve…

🚨 Red Alert in Reverse Repos 🚨 The RRP facility—the $2.5T “shock absorber” of global liquidity—just slipped below $100B for 2 of the last 3 trading days. Last time this pattern showed up? ...just prior to the📉 March–April bloodbath. Something’s breaking beneath the surface.…

The U.S. dollar used to be backed by gold — and it’s not farfetched to think we may be headed there again in the future. History shows us that the same cycles repeat time and time again. One such cycle is related to currency devaluation. Once people start to lose trust in the…