Devolved Election Projections @DevolvedVotes

Tool to project your own results of the Scottish, Welsh, Northern Irish and London Elections 🗳️ Donate: https://t.co/TNsNtbcHAv devolvedelections.co.uk Joined May 2025

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Devolved Election Projections @DevolvedVotes

a week ago

We've added a new Margin of Error preset to our Northern Ireland projection! It creates random votes share near the Nowcast so you can see what could happen with a normal polling miss. Just click it again for a different scenario. devolvedelections.co.uk/northern-irela…

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Devolved Election Projections @DevolvedVotes

a week ago

Graham Simpson (Central Region) defects from Conservative to Reform becoming their only MSP. He's likely to hold a seat in the new region of Central and Lothians West. devolvedelections.co.uk/scotland/

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Devolved Election Projections @DevolvedVotes

2 weeks ago

Our first guest opinion piece from Lewis Norton looking ahead to the elections in Scotland and Wales. 2026 Devolved Elections: The Conservatives' Defining Test devolvedelections.co.uk/blog/norton-to…

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Devolved Election Projections @DevolvedVotes

3 weeks ago

We tested how a Single NI Unionist Party *could* do at the next election. DUP + UUP + TUV: 38 A Unified Party: 38 devolvedelections.co.uk/blog/single-un…

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Devolved Election Projections @DevolvedVotes

3 weeks ago

A projection based on the latest @BelTel / @LucidTalk poll for NI Assembly ‘27: ☘️ SF — 24 🦁 DUP — 16 🤝 AP — 14 🔷 UUP — 10 🌹 SDLP — 10 Ⓣ TUV — 12 ✊ PBP — 2 🌱 GP — 1 ⚫ Ind — 1 From @DevolvedVotes devolvedelections.co.uk/northern-irela…

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Devolved Election Projections @DevolvedVotes

a month ago

Our Nowcast has Reform in first place Senedd polling. But, with no realistic route to government. ➡️ Ref — 31 🌼 PC — 28 🌹 Lab — 25 🌳 Con — 6 🐤 LD — 4 🌱 GP — 2 devolvedelections.co.uk/wales/

Overcoat Media @overcoatmedia

a month ago

Our Nowcast has Reform in first place Senedd polling. But, with no realistic route to government. ➡️ Ref — 31 🌼 PC — 28 🌹 Lab — 25 🌳 Con — 6 🐤 LD — 4 🌱 GP — 2 devolvedelections.co.uk/wales/ https://t.co/lirIpBZiGh

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Irish Election Projections @irish_election

a month ago

🗳️🇮🇪Who’s Winning? We Actually Have the Data. We’ve launched irishelections.ie — the place where Irish election projections make sense. 📊 Real-time seat forecasts 📈 Constituency breakdowns 🤓 Politics, but with fewer opinions and more numbers 👉 irishelections.ie

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Devolved Election Projections @DevolvedVotes

2 months ago

Laura Anne Jones defects to from Conservative to Reform giving them their first MS. Our Nowcast has Reform winning 2 in the new Sir Fynwy Torfaen constituency which overlaps with Jones' current seat. Labour 2, Plaid Cymru 1, Conservatives 1. devolvedelections.co.uk/wales/

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Electoral Reform Society @electoralreform

2 months ago

This is huge news for our democracy. 16 and 17 year olds will have the vote in the election. Extending the franchise is vital to nurturing more active citizens for the future health of our democracy.