Here’s your #UFC319 Main Card breakdown! An Absolutely AMAZING slate of fights coming up with a number of fighters who have fought in 5-Round main events of their own in the past. Looking for all the fights to be close and highly entertaining. We also predict 3 of the 5 fights will end in victory for the Underdog. Here we go…. 🧵 👇 #UFC #UFC319 #FightAlgo
UFC 319 Main Card: Match 5 Tim Elliott (+265) vs Kai Asakura (-330) Moneyline Pick: 🐕 Elliott to Win 🐕 Method Prediction: 🐕 Elliott to Win by Points: +550 Other Ideas: ⭐️ Points by Either: +100 ⭐️ Elliott by KO or Points: +390 ⭐️ Sub by Either (Long Shot): +550 Notes: Asakura has a lot of hype but looked overmatched in his one UFC fight. He mostly has won by KO in his career but Elliott has not been KO’d since 2017. Looking for Elliott to outlast and outclass Asakura as his best path to victory. #UFC #UFC319 #FightAlgo
UFC 319 Main Card: Match Four Jared Cannonier (+180) vs Michael Venom Page (-215) Moneyline Pick: ⭐️ MVP to Win ⭐️ Method Prediction: ⭐️ MVP to Win by Points ⭐️ Other Ideas: ⭐️ Points by Either: ⭐️ MVP by Points or KO ⭐️ MVP Wins & Round 2 Starts: Notes: ALL 3 Page fights have gone to Points (2-1). Conversely… 2 of the last 3 Cannonier fights ended in a KO (1-1). Thinking Page can control this one and win by Decision. #UFC #UFC319 #FightAlgo
UFC 319 Main Card: Match Three Geoff Neal (+168) vs Carlos Prates (-200) Moneyline Pick: ⭐️ Prates to Win ⭐️ Method Prediction: ⭐️ Prates to Win by Points: +300 Other Ideas: Fight goes the Distance: +128 Points by Either: +120 Prates by Points or KO: -200 Prates Wins & Round 2 Starts: -110 Notes: Yes… Prates has won 4 of his 5 fights in the UFC by KO. So… it wouldn’t be shocking if this happens. However… Neal has NEVER been KO’d since his UFC debut in 2018. in the UFC #UFC #UFC319 #FightAlgo
UFC 319 Main Card: The Co-Main Event! Lerone Murphy (+142) vs Aaron Pico (-168) Moneyline Pick: 🐕 Murphy to Win ⭐️ Method Prediction: 🐕 Murphy by KO: 🐕 Murphy by KO in Rds 2 or 3: Other Ideas: ⭐️ Points by Either: ⭐️ Murphy by KO or Points: ⭐️ Murphy by Points: Notes: This is Pico’s UFC debut after a long career in Bellator. He’s the favorite but fighters from lesser promotions have a tendency to struggle against UFC talent. Murphy has won his last 5 fights by…. Points. So this SEEMS most likely BUT… Murphy is used to winning and has some KO’s under his belt. Plus, 3 of 4 Pico losses are by KO so when he loses, he gets knocked out. #UFC #UFC319 #FightAlgo
UFC 319 Main Card: THE MAIN EVENT!!! Dricus du Plessis (+205) vs Khamzat Chimaev (-250) Moneyline Pick: 🐕 du Plessis to Win 🐕 Method Prediction: 🐕 du Plessis by Points: +650 Other Ideas: ⭐️ Points by Either: +250 ⭐️ du Plessis by Points or Sub: +420 ⭐️ du Plessis by Points or Chimaev by Sub: -115 ⭐️ Fight to Start Round 3: -120 ⭐️ Fight to Start Round 4: +128 ⭐️ Fight to Start Round 5: +188 Notes: CANNOT WAIT for this one. Both undefeated in the UFC. Chimaev has never been an underdog and has never been taken down. du Plessis has a 57% confidence advantage here. Dricus has more fights over the last couple of years and hasn’t been submitted since way back in 2014! As such, we like Dricus’ chances to fight of Chimaev’s grappling and outlast him for a hard-fought underdog victory. LET’S GO!!!! #UFC #UFC319 #FightAlgo