I decode FX markets and global macro from an Austrian-school perspective, with actionable insights for traders and liberty-minded thinkers.intelligentforexinvestor.substack.comJoined April 2019
Most traders blow up chasing returns.
What if you did the opposite?
What if you used less than 1x leverage—and made yourself indestructible?
New essay on antifragile trading, capital survival, and Austrian logic:
medium.com/@mateusz.banas…
Most traders don’t fail because they’re wrong. They fail because they double down on belief, not logic.
In a rigged, uncertain system, survival is the edge.
New essay on forex, leverage, and ruin:
👉 medium.com/@mateusz.banas…
🇨🇭 $CHF near decade highs, #USDCHF near decade lows. Inflation near zero. #SNB nervous. Why? In a world addicted to cheap money, even monetary sanity looks suspicious. They might cut rates not to fight inflation, but to punish their own currency for being too honest. #forex
🇯🇵 Japan whispers “we’re watching FX markets closely” while pretending not to care about a collapsing yen. G7 talks incoming. Expect polite diplomacy, followed by quiet intervention.
$EURUSD fundamentals may have shifted in favor of EUR for now—but long term, I still can't picture the Eurozone outgrowing the U.S. Structural stagnation doesn’t disappear with a few data surprises. #forex#trading#investing#eurusd
This is my $EURUSD position—about 420 pips from break-even. No stress, I've got deep reserves and patience. Two concerns, though: 1) U.S. GDP growth has turned negative—first time in a while. 2) U.S. M2 is expanding faster than in the eurozone. Watching closely. #Forex#Macro
$JPY weakens as Japanese investors flood into foreign equities. They’re fleeing a zero-yield wasteland created by decades of monetary manipulation. This isn’t a “risk-on” story—it’s a silent vote of no confidence in the BoJ and the yen itself. $USDJPY #forex#trading
USD rallies on the US-China tariff truce. But don't confuse political de-escalation with economic strength. Currency value should reflect productivity—not diplomatic games. Fiat FX markets remain hostage to central planners and trade bureaucrats. #forex#trading $eurusd
The whole financial world is waiting for Trump to default on his promise to kill international trade. Believing he’d follow through was always a dangerous bet. Now the huge $EURUSD bubble is set to burst—or quietly deflate. #forex#trading#fx
📉 The euro is up 11% vs. the dollar—but the fundamentals say otherwise. GDP, interest rates, unemployment… all still favor the USD. Markets are chasing sentiment, not reality. And we’ve seen how that ends. 👀
🧵 Read the full breakdown: medium.com/@mateusz.banas…#Forex#EURUSD…
President Donald Trump imposed unprecedented sanctions package on the U.S. In response, China, and other countries start imposing their own sanctions packages on themselves 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣.
EUR/USD has officially lost its mind. Fundamentals left the chat, and volatility kicked the door in.
If you're calm, this might be the biggest forex opportunity in years. Panic is expensive. Discipline is cheap.
#EURUSD#forex#trading
I can see two (and only two) sensible trading options for the $EURUSD market at the moment. Most traders I know, are unhappy when a trade goes against them. They are wrong. Trade going against you is an opportunity. All you have to do is control risk. #forex#trading#eurusd
Forex trends can create false confidence and lead traders to overlook market volatility. This article highlights the pitfalls of over-relying on trends and offers strategies for better decision-making. A must-read!
intelligentforexinvestor.com/trend-is-not-y…
I'm looking at today's #EURUSD chart, and one thing comes to my mind. It is good to open a trade before a data publication, but in which direction? Just open it in a direction that is in line with fundamentals. It'll work in more than 50% of cases 🤪.
#trading#forex
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