MacroScope @MacroScope17
Topics: institutional trading, asset management and monetary policy. Tweets are opinions only and are not intended as advice. New York, USA Joined August 2017-
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BTC update: 1. Despite the price dip, the post below from a couple weeks ago remains my big-picture view. I expect an eventual BTC move that will echo previous gold/BTC cycles (meaning: BTC should hugely outperform gold’s current surge). Key word is eventual. Remember that…
BTC update: 1. Despite the price dip, the post below from a couple weeks ago remains my big-picture view. I expect an eventual BTC move that will echo previous gold/BTC cycles (meaning: BTC should hugely outperform gold’s current surge). Key word is eventual. Remember that…
In an SEC filing today, BlackRock's Global Allocation Fund reported owning 1,000,808 shares of IBIT valued at $66.4 million as of July 31. That's an increase from 723,332 shares previously reported as of April 30. Translation: During May, June and/or July (when BTC traded…
As someone who's been watching, trading and holding physical gold for decades, I've never seen this type of market where every downtick gets bought day after day, week after week. And in the face of mostly neutral or flat-out unfavorable futures positioning. The continued move up…
As someone who's been watching, trading and holding physical gold for decades, I've never seen this type of market where every downtick gets bought day after day, week after week. And in the face of mostly neutral or flat-out unfavorable futures positioning. The continued move up…
"As money saved diminished like a lump of ice on a summer's day, there was every incentive to eat it, drink it or be merry with it." -When Money Dies by Adam Fergusson
"As money saved diminished like a lump of ice on a summer's day, there was every incentive to eat it, drink it or be merry with it." -When Money Dies by Adam Fergusson
Posted last weekend. Since then: gold unchanged, BTC +2.5%. See the last line below. And keep #3 of the sequence in mind.
Posted last weekend. Since then: gold unchanged, BTC +2.5%. See the last line below. And keep #3 of the sequence in mind.
Watching this gold move with increasing concern. I say this as someone who posted on August 28 at $3400 to watch for a move up. I also say it as a decades-long gold bull who has owned physical gold for many years. No one should be watching this with joy. We know why it’s…
The established sequence: 1. Gold moves up. It outperforms BTC for weeks or months while BTC is quiet or drops. 2. Gold’s outperformance over BTC begins to slow, then reverse. 3. BTC catches up and vastly outperforms gold and other assets. If this gold/BTC cycle plays out…
Two weeks ago at BTC 109k. Starting to develop as expected. If it continues to play out like April, BTC would see new highs in coming months.
Two weeks ago at BTC 109k. Starting to develop as expected. If it continues to play out like April, BTC would see new highs in coming months.
What word means louder than "screaming"?
One week ago at gold $3400. Now eyeing $3600 after today's jobs numbers. This continues to apply including --eventually -- for BTC. The protection trade will become even more important. More soon.
One week ago at gold $3400. Now eyeing $3600 after today's jobs numbers. This continues to apply including --eventually -- for BTC. The protection trade will become even more important. More soon.
Early August. "Another interesting tidbit" has gotten even more interesting since then.
Early August. "Another interesting tidbit" has gotten even more interesting since then.
After my El Salvador trip reports, I’ve gotten lots of questions from readers who want to visit. If you’ve been waiting for a good time to go, this looks like an important event. And it’s in San Salvador’s Centro Histórico. You can read what I think about that here:…
After my El Salvador trip reports, I’ve gotten lots of questions from readers who want to visit. If you’ve been waiting for a good time to go, this looks like an important event. And it’s in San Salvador’s Centro Histórico. You can read what I think about that here:…
I cover this in my latest News Block this week… with signals via @MacroScope17 of why Bitcoin may have a major breakout soon. Uptober loading? ⚡️ 10 min show: open.spotify.com/episode/3PS9AC… Free substack: thenewsblock.substack.com
I cover this in my latest News Block this week… with signals via @MacroScope17 of why Bitcoin may have a major breakout soon. Uptober loading? ⚡️ 10 min show: open.spotify.com/episode/3PS9AC… Free substack: thenewsblock.substack.com
Thanks @natbrunell for the mention at 6:10. Link to September 1st episode is here: coinstories.libsyn.com
Gold is screaming to be long BTC once this BTC retracement is done. The last time this happened was below in April. Gold had just made a huge move to the 3400-3500 area. During that same time, BTC retraced from 109k to 75k. The inflection point (noted below) was a positive…
Gold is screaming to be long BTC once this BTC retracement is done. The last time this happened was below in April. Gold had just made a huge move to the 3400-3500 area. During that same time, BTC retraced from 109k to 75k. The inflection point (noted below) was a positive…
GLD highest-ever daily, weekly and monthly close today.
Yesterday at gold 3400 (now 3440). Gold and BTC are again showing the lead/lag relationship that we've seen many times before (gold leads, BTC eventually follows). This is because of BTC's equity-like risk component in shorter time frames. Watch the gold levels in the post below…
Yesterday at gold 3400 (now 3440). Gold and BTC are again showing the lead/lag relationship that we've seen many times before (gold leads, BTC eventually follows). This is because of BTC's equity-like risk component in shorter time frames. Watch the gold levels in the post below…
Gold should be watched here. Quietly near its high, tight range for months, out of the headlines. Futures positioning hasn’t given strong signals this year, partly due to the huge underlying sovereign bid that has made positioning a less reliable indicator than in the past. In…
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