MacroSpectrum @MacroSpectrum

Macro Spectrum is set up by a team of traders & strategists working across the globe in various asset classes. For details, please visit https://t.co/CXcCObZ7RA Joined July 2024

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MacroSpectrum @MacroSpectrum

45 minutes ago

Trade Updates: When we started in Feb'24 one of our earliest trade recos was being long on silver. It was published on 15th Nov 2024 (link below) when Silver was trading at 30.3 levels. We had given a profit target of 40.3 then & a stop of 24.3. This profit target was achieved on…

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MacroSpectrum @MacroSpectrum

6 hours ago

ECB’s 11 SEP POLICY PREVIEW: WAIT & WATCH: Following is our detailed preview report on 11th Sep ECB meeting: macro-spectrum.com/opinion/ecbs-1… 1. We expect the ECB to leave the depo rate unchanged at 2.00% at its 11 September meeting. We believe the ECB will continue to emphasise data…

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MacroSpectrum @MacroSpectrum

23 hours ago

Trump 1, Powell -1: Since June we have been surprised at the difference between actual NFP and our estimates. But when in the last NFP, previous 2 month's nos were revised downward by 258k, our conviction was proved right. For Aug NFP we had predicted 40k last week:…

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MacroSpectrum @MacroSpectrum

6 days ago

What we see ahead: Below is our weekly report on major economic data points in G-7 this week & our expectations: macro-spectrum.com/opinion/the-we… 1. This week’s holiday-shortened economic calendar features a healthy dose of data amidst a light sprinkling of Fed speak. Monday US markets…

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MacroSpectrum @MacroSpectrum

6 days ago

G-7 FX WEEKLY OUTLOOK: Below is our G-7 FX outlook for the week ahead: macro-spectrum.com/opinion/g-7-fx… 1. DXY has been largely range bound in July & Aug around 98-100 levels. But we think that the forces which started the fall in DXY from 110 towards current levels, are still present…

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MacroSpectrum @MacroSpectrum

7 days ago

US NFP AUG’25 PREVIEW: We have released the below preview report on perhaps the most awaited economic data point of this year i.e the Aug'25 NFP (Non Farm Payrolls): macro-spectrum.com/opinion/us-nfp… 1. We expect headline job gains cooled to 40k in Aug from 73k in July. The slowing trend…

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MacroSpectrum @MacroSpectrum

a week ago

Bloomberg reports that most of President Donald Trump’s global tariffs were ruled illegal by a federal appeals court that found he exceeded his authority by imposing them through an emergency law, but the judges let the levies stay in place while the case proceeds. The US Court…

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MacroSpectrum @MacroSpectrum

a week ago

MONTHLY COMMODITY ROUNDUP Aug'25: We are starting a new report series on commodities which will be a monthly round up of how various commodities are performing, future trends & price outlook. Below is our 1st report in this series: macro-spectrum.com/opinion/monthl… 1. We look at open…

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MacroSpectrum @MacroSpectrum

2 weeks ago

Trump removes Fed Governor Lisa cook with immediate effect. This implies Trump can now nominate one more person of his choice in the influential Fed Board of Governors. With Waller, Bowman, Stephen Miran already supporting his rate cuts proposition, the Board of governors now…

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MacroSpectrum @MacroSpectrum

2 weeks ago

What we see ahead: Below is our weekly report on major economic data points in G-7 this week & our expectations: macro-spectrum.com/opinion/the-we… 1. This week’s economic calendar remains somewhat busy with a handful of notable data releases amidst a light calendar of Fed speak. 2.…

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MacroSpectrum @MacroSpectrum

2 weeks ago

AI LED UNCERTAIN PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH BUT CERTAIN JOB LOSSES: We have released a detailed report on how big the current AI capex trends are, do they lead to productivity growth and their impact on job losses as well as trend growth: macro-spectrum.com/opinion/ai-led… 1. There have been…

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MacroSpectrum @MacroSpectrum

2 weeks ago

US RATES LOWER FOR LONGER: We have released a detailed report on why US rates are headed significantly lower in the next 3 weeks: macro-spectrum.com/opinion/us-rat… 1. We are fast approaching an environment where we might see significant receiving in US rates across the curve. Not only is…

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MacroSpectrum @MacroSpectrum

2 weeks ago

JACKSON HOLE (JH) REVIEW: The Narrative Has Been Set: We have released a detailed review note of Fed Chair's Powell's speech at JH: macro-spectrum.com/opinion/jackso… 1. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in his keynote JH speech shifted his signalling on near-term Fed policy, suggesting…

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MacroSpectrum @MacroSpectrum

2 weeks ago

Finally Fed Chair Powell looks at employment mandate: In a major relief for the market (as the Fed Chair is almost always way behind the curve in recognizing obvious economic developments) Powell recognised the downside risks to employment . We had expected that the Fed would cut…

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MacroSpectrum @MacroSpectrum

2 weeks ago

Will Trump announce a deal tonight on Russia Ukraine at Noon EST in a televised address from the WH. But it is unlikely for a televised address to focus on a foreign issue unless it's war time. Next bet is on a policy change wrt Gold valuation considering US treasury's Gold is…

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MacroSpectrum @MacroSpectrum

3 weeks ago

Finally +ve news on Russia Ukraine peace negotiations. +Ve for risk assets, -ve for Brent & NG, -ve for dxy. On a side note, if the war really stops, Trump will finally have his Noble peace prize.