For companies beating EPS estimates, they are not being rewarded by the market ... average performance relative to the S&P 500 the day of the beat is -0.07% per Bloomberg Intelligence data
The old TD Ameritrade Investor Movement Index is now the Schwab Trading Activity Index (STAX). Good gauge of sentiment? Activity still nowhere near frenzied levels of 2021. $SCHW
🤣 This is what happens when you give out participation trophies in youth sports... "everyone's a winner!" You end up with adults who never learned that they will lose sometimes and it's ok... move on and evaluate how you can become better for the next fight.
🤣 This is what happens when you give out participation trophies in youth sports... "everyone's a winner!" You end up with adults who never learned that they will lose sometimes and it's ok... move on and evaluate how you can become better for the next fight.
Another 2008-like credit crisis is improbable. The setup is different.
But if it was difficult in January 2008 for economists to foresee the coming Great Recession and the GFC , then it's impossible for them to forecast what's around the corner now.
6K Followers 2K FollowingDermatology specialist. @JoinAutopilot_ investor. Occasional options trader. USA optimist. Avid reader. Follow back all new verified followers.
7K Followers 4K FollowingGlobal macroeconomic and financial markets in charts, created using Infinity, an AI-powered analytics and visualization platform.
697 Followers 945 FollowingMS Ops Research Ga Tech Charles Dow Award TOY Barometer, Whaley Breadth Thrust Non Maga Conservative waynewhaley
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0 Followers 586 FollowingEverybody is a genius. But if you judge a fish by its ability to climb a tree, it will live its whole life believing that it is stupid.
469 Followers 1K Followingyouth soccer supporter, tesla skeptic, former beer drinker, not good at using my blinker Florida Man, and very pro promotion-relegation for US Soccer.
6K Followers 2K FollowingDermatology specialist. @JoinAutopilot_ investor. Occasional options trader. USA optimist. Avid reader. Follow back all new verified followers.
16K Followers 97 FollowingI invest in biotechs. I often tweet about companies I have positions in. Nothing I say should be considered investment advice.
24K Followers 48 FollowingProfessor @Cornell @BerkeleyLab @adia_lab.
Quant of the Year (2019, 2021) & Bernstein Fabozzi (2024) Awards.
Royal Order of Civil Merit (Knight Officer).
9K Followers 880 FollowingEx Co-Head of Macro at Bridgewater (joined in 1998, left 2023)
Cyclical macro. Very interested in random micro. Investor.
Brazilian-ish. Introvert/lurker.
3K Followers 2K FollowingSenior Editor at @business. @jhucarey MBA. Consulted to international organizations, including @worldbank @wbg_ida and @the_idb
7K Followers 4K FollowingGlobal macroeconomic and financial markets in charts, created using Infinity, an AI-powered analytics and visualization platform.
14K Followers 4K FollowingHedge Fund Founder. Dad. HBS .🐊⚾️. Kings 18:27. No One is Coming. Die Empty. Viking. War Horse. Whatever it Takes. Everything is a Test.*NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE*
2K Followers 549 FollowingGM of finance vertical @perplexity_ai Former fintech founder. Prior Citadel, Tiger Mgmt, and Coatue analyst. Still under illusion I can beat the mkt.
45K Followers 5K FollowingAuthor, "RICHER, WISER, HAPPIER: How the World's Greatest Investors Win in Markets & Life" (https://t.co/7842Q0Vv1B). Host of the Richer, Wiser, Happier podcast.
24K Followers 219 FollowingMusings on behavioral finance, stock-picking, and other stuff. Views expressed do not represent those of Albert Bridge Capital LP.
2K Followers 4K FollowingL/S equity in tech and energy. ISO convexity. Path dependence matters. Sizing via Kelly Criterion. Results never lie. Not financial advice.
35K Followers 2K Following1) If you have no edge, correct position size is 'don't buy”. 2) Position sizing is determined by downside. 3) All great investing records employed leverage.