Oilytics @OilyticsData
Helping traders beat the market #OOTT https://t.co/QxpegpTOcT… oilytics.co/daily-oil-mark… London, England Joined September 2018-
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Aussie rules? Product sanctions on Indian product with Russian-origin crude begin next year but the one to watch is Australia. Total Aussie kero and diesel imports range about 25m tonnes per year with restricted domestic refinery capacity. However, so far there has been no…
📊 Summary of Oil Industry Movements - Week 36 Asian Refinery Runs Near Record Highs: ⚡ Refinery throughput in Asia's four largest economies remains near record levels, reaching 25.5 MMBD in July, just shy of the 2023 peak. This robust activity is primarily driven by China,…
OPEC whispers of increasing production this weekend causing crude and crude structure to tumble in yesterday’s trading session. Dec-Dec Brent retraces back to the 0.5 Fib level. So begs the question, despite all the increases to merchant oil flows in Q4 on paper, what exactly are…
Rolling Baltic LPG freight below. And interestingly we have fallen $10/mt from the LPG highs this year. Still a reasonable earnings number for the owners, especially factoring in the cheap global bunker market. A cooling off of LPG freight comes at an opportune time ahead of the…
Jun-Dec ‘26 WTI-Brent box showing signs of bottoming in the following graph below. With rumblings of peak shale production and deteriorated drilling economics in the US, this spread will be the one to watch next few months. Dragged down by WTI weakness in the front, this has the…
All is rosy? Dirty AG freight bouncing on the back of increased shipped AG volumes post the Summer crude burn season as evidenced in the below TD3 rolling graph. Mr Market currently thinking that global oil demand around the world also stacks up to justify the rally from the…
Sing 380 Fuel Oil-MOPJ naphtha differential price history below. Market rallied sharply since end September last year with OPEC restricted flows in particular causing the heavier end of the barrel to be tight relative to the light end of the barrel; apart from WAF the majority of…
Brent-Dubai rolling EFS front month graphed below cheap as chips! The tremendous rally in the beginning of April and the demise mid June coincided with naphtha crack appreciation and depreciation in the same periods, albeit more of a lag the latter case. Rationale being that…
📊 Summary of Oil Industry Movements - Week 34 WTI-Brent Spread Collapses: ⚡ The WTI-Brent front-month spread, often referred to as a "widowmaker" due to its volatility, has collapsed and is now trading below its annual average of -3. The price action, characterized by…
Tale of two commodities graphed below with the Palm Oil- ICE Gasoil spread. Palm oil outright price recently reaching the annual highs and distillate flat price takings its lead from the struggling crude oil market. Net result has been the sharp Summer rally in PO-GO, damaging…
The phrase quiet performer comes to mind…Oct RBOB-Brent chart below steadily trended up in a neat channel with a $5/bbl appreciation since the beginning of the year. Everybody focused on the distillate headlines, understandably so given the constant barrage of sanctions…
The new widowmaker….WTI-Brent. Rolling front month+1 WTI-Brent. The collapse has been quite remarkable since end June. Annual average is -3, so we are now trading below that. The graph sniffs of liquidation-motivated price action with some of the widest peak-trough price action…
📊 Summary of Oil Industry Movements - Week 33 WTI Speculative Length at Record Low: ⚡ Net speculative long positions in WTI crude futures (across both ICE and Nymex exchanges) have hit another record low. This underperformance compared to Brent is a puzzling development,…
D4 RINS correcting from the highs to $1.13 yesterday. US soyabean oil values relative to heating oil prices have in tandem been falling too, with the Sep SBO value reaching the low made at the end of June, assisting the US renewable diesel producer recover from the Summer…
What a recovery for Summer RBOB-Heat! Three weeks of appreciations for Sep RBOB-Heat after seven straight depreciations preceding that, with last week finishing a tad lower than the annual average of -13c/g for the year. Both June and July had an intra-month range of 18c/g with…
Summer season bringing a smile to the LPG shipping markets. With healthy LPG volumes from the US and AG, there has been a steady appreciation in the LPG freight markets this year. Stats yesterday indicating just less than 2mb/d exports. We are now close to the Iranian bombing…
Despite oil major CEO warnings and top investment banks issuing caveats, ULSD rolling flat price actually returned precisely back to the annual average of $2.30/ gallon. Even amidst a high sanction-threat environment, Western diesel does not seem too worried and the mkt is not…
📊 Summary of Oil Industry Movements - Week 31 Diverging Speculative Length in US Markets: ⚡ A significant divergence is occurring in speculative positions in the US market. Net speculative long positions in WTI crude have fallen to a record low, indicating that passive long…
India’s recent hesitation to take Russian crude barrels has the potential to upset global flows. India’s naphtha yield, since having such a high proportion of Russian crude in its diet has dropped to just above 6%. China can step in but as we have noted in our daily reports,…
Time to take some profit! Rolling front month WTI chance graphed below. Technical bulls had a good chance to get long at the bullish trendline at the beginning of last week. And now with the 0.38 Fib level touched just shy of 70 bucks, it seems we shall see sellers come in today…
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