Mo @PersianMacroGuy

Living the island life as a macro trader on the beaches of Puerto Rico. Past life: engineering at Google and Facebook. Isabela, Puerto Rico Joined June 2009

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Mo @PersianMacroGuy

13 hours ago

I was lucky to come across a few arbitrage opportunities over the years, but the biggest one was moving to Puerto Rico. Can’t talk of a better arb for American traders. 0 federal/local capital gains while getting to enjoy some of the best beaches in the world

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Mo @PersianMacroGuy

2 days ago

$GOOG up 35% since then

Mo @PersianMacroGuy

4 months ago

$GOOG up 35% since then

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Mo @PersianMacroGuy

2 weeks ago

If the Fed cuts 100 bps and we avoid a recession, $LC is a $30+ stock.

Mo @PersianMacroGuy

a month ago

If the Fed cuts 100 bps and we avoid a recession, $LC is a $30+ stock.

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Mo @PersianMacroGuy

3 weeks ago

3.67 billion. Very good earnings! $NU

Mo @PersianMacroGuy

3 weeks ago

3.67 billion. Very good earnings! $NU

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Mo @PersianMacroGuy

3 weeks ago

The summer small cap rally was nice while it lasted

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Mo @PersianMacroGuy

3 weeks ago

For Q2, I expect Nubank’s revenue to come around $3.6 billion, missing average analysts estimate of $3.67 billion. $nu

Mo @PersianMacroGuy

4 months ago

For Q2, I expect Nubank’s revenue to come around $3.6 billion, missing average analysts estimate of $3.67 billion. $nu

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Siyu Li @siyul

3 weeks ago

CPI rises moderately, the Street sees 3 Fed rate cuts by EoY. Despite being huge beneficiaries, regional/community banks are hated and at a depressed valuation. I have seen this movie b4. When momentum shifts, it does quickly (might be happening now), and this is a setup you…

Siyu Li @siyul

4 weeks ago

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Mo @PersianMacroGuy

4 weeks ago

The Fed chair is the only FOMC vote that matters as it is understood by everyone that projecting stability is the most important central bank function. The rest is theater.

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Mo @PersianMacroGuy

4 weeks ago

grant me the serenity to avoid the fads, the courage to ride the megatrends, and the wisdom to know the difference.

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Mo @PersianMacroGuy

4 weeks ago

The data is clear $hood

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Mo @PersianMacroGuy

4 weeks ago

Actually technology companies tend to be winner take all/most and the TAM doesn’t make a difference. Hard to tell who will eventually win in this but I doubt there will be more than a couple winners here. And when network effects don’t matter anymore (as you don’t need human…

Sawyer Merritt @SawyerMerritt

4 weeks ago

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Mo @PersianMacroGuy

a month ago

guess what cyclical sector is outperforming today?

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Mo @PersianMacroGuy

a month ago

Lending Club has indicated that they can get back to 3-4 billion+ origination levels/quarter by openning their marketing channels. That would get them to 20%-30% ROTE levels. They trade at like 1.3x TBV. They could easily trade at 2x TBV. That would put it at $23.

Mo @PersianMacroGuy

a month ago

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Mo @PersianMacroGuy

a month ago

LendingClub $lc just reported earnings. This should be a $20+ stock right now. will be reflected on the stock over the next month.

EconstratPB @EconstratPB

a month ago

LendingClub $lc just reported earnings. This should be a $20+ stock right now. will be reflected on the stock over the next month.

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EconstratPB @EconstratPB

a month ago

Updating this. Note was published on May 19th. If you bought a basket of these names market-on-close: LC +25.17% OPFI -6.90% UPST +75.80% SOFI +80.19% PGY 108.32% Average +56.51% in 2 months.

EconstratPB @EconstratPB

2 months ago

Updating this. Note was published on May 19th. If you bought a basket of these names market-on-close: LC +25.17% OPFI -6.90% UPST +75.80% SOFI +80.19% PGY 108.32% Average +56.51% in 2 months.

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Mo @PersianMacroGuy

a month ago

To say the least, the unsecured marketplace lenders are going to crush earnings this quarter. Originations in the sector is well above record high now. Pricing is almost normalized and loan performance keeps getting better. $LC $OPFI $UPST $SOFI $PGY

EconstratPB @EconstratPB

2 months ago

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Mo @PersianMacroGuy

2 months ago

Tariffs showing up in inflation Trade wars (fights) more persistent Long end rates rising again despite all the rate engineering chatter Momentum & crypto showing weakness It feels like a narrative shift moment on equities

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Mo @PersianMacroGuy

2 months ago

BTFD mentality also means there are windows of opportunities for sell-offs before the crowd.

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Florian Kronawitter @fkronawitter1

2 months ago

At the April lows, investors were convinced tariffs would lead to a deep recession Today, they have removed any tariff impact from their analysis The reality is that the impact is slow, but big (~1-1.5pc NGDP at current run rate!) and coming. Q3 earnings will show it first