Phil Gordon @PhilGordonDC
Sydney Stein, Jr Scholar @BrookingsInst; White House, NSC and State Dept in Biden, Obama and Clinton admins; Executive Partner XN; author, Losing the Long Game. brookings.edu/people/philip-… Joined January 2025-
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Not sure how "Trump has gone way farther than Biden" when he has zeroed-out new US mil support for Ukraine. Letting Euros buy US weapons not similar. Also wish it were true that Europe has managed to keep Trump aligned & resistant to Putin's advances but don't see that either.
"Huckabee warns of West Bank Collapse" is quite the headline after Trump lifts sanctions on violent settlers, bans the PA from UNGA, allows Israel to withhold Palestinian tax revenues--and Huckabee himself says Israeli settlements like E1 are up to the Israeli govt.
"Huckabee warns of West Bank Collapse" is quite the headline after Trump lifts sanctions on violent settlers, bans the PA from UNGA, allows Israel to withhold Palestinian tax revenues--and Huckabee himself says Israeli settlements like E1 are up to the Israeli govt.
Collecting $300bn in tariffs does not "add" 1% to GDP. It just transfers it from US consumers and businesses to the government while making goods more expensive, hurting exporters, and creating an exemptions process ripe for corruption. And the worst thing is Bessent knows that.
Collecting $300bn in tariffs does not "add" 1% to GDP. It just transfers it from US consumers and businesses to the government while making goods more expensive, hurting exporters, and creating an exemptions process ripe for corruption. And the worst thing is Bessent knows that.
Netanyahu's case for rejecting (his own) ceasefire plan is that military pressure will free hostages and defeat Hamas. Problem is he made same case when he broke last one six months ago and results have been catastrophic. No surprise his commanders oppose. haaretz.com/israel-news/20…
See good piece on this by @mikercarpenter. Budapest and Minsk cautionary tales about relying on weak assurances. A strong future Ukrainian force, financed in part by frozen Russian assets, more reliable than small European force with US "involvement." justsecurity.org/119673/ukraine…
See good piece on this by @mikercarpenter. Budapest and Minsk cautionary tales about relying on weak assurances. A strong future Ukrainian force, financed in part by frozen Russian assets, more reliable than small European force with US "involvement." justsecurity.org/119673/ukraine…
Dangerous to rely on plan that seems designed more to convince US to get involved and persuade Zelensky to accept eventual peace deal than to actually defend Ukraine in case of further Russian aggression. Material support for Ukraine self-defense a more credible deterrent.
Dangerous to rely on plan that seems designed more to convince US to get involved and persuade Zelensky to accept eventual peace deal than to actually defend Ukraine in case of further Russian aggression. Material support for Ukraine self-defense a more credible deterrent.
Trump plan to remove Gaza population, Israel considering West Bank annexation, US ban of PA from UN, Trump call for Israel to “finish the job” in Gaza, and US endorsement of West Bank settlements. Greater Israel agenda advancing rapidly with Trump’s growing and overt support.
Fact that plan devised by founders of GHF should itself raise questions but beyond that a proposal to send 2m Palestinians to war-torn African countries, rely on outside funding for mega-projects and leave Israelis in charge of security is wildly unrealistic, cruel and unlawful.
Fact that plan devised by founders of GHF should itself raise questions but beyond that a proposal to send 2m Palestinians to war-torn African countries, rely on outside funding for mega-projects and leave Israelis in charge of security is wildly unrealistic, cruel and unlawful.
Trump blows up 25-year strategic relationship with India by trying to win Nobel Prize but Bessent worries that tariff ruling would be diplomatic embarrassment. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
US and Israel doing everything possible to weaken and de-legitimize PA--even as it maintains commitment to nonviolence and security cooperation with Israel--and then use lack of Palestinian alternative to Hamas in Gaza as argument for continued war.
US and Israel doing everything possible to weaken and de-legitimize PA--even as it maintains commitment to nonviolence and security cooperation with Israel--and then use lack of Palestinian alternative to Hamas in Gaza as argument for continued war.
The anonymous sources in @felschwartz story are more credible than any on-record quotes from Vance, Kushner, or foreign officials with an interest in pleasing Trump. And pushback pointing to Witkoff's "progress" is even less convincing, with Russia escalating drone and missile…
The anonymous sources in @felschwartz story are more credible than any on-record quotes from Vance, Kushner, or foreign officials with an interest in pleasing Trump. And pushback pointing to Witkoff's "progress" is even less convincing, with Russia escalating drone and missile…
Well-argued case by @ccaryl that most credible "security guarantee" for Ukraine is material support for its defense now and in future, including by using the frozen Russian assets. foreignpolicy.com/2025/08/27/ukr…
I spoke with @andreaskluth about where we stand on Ukraine after all the summits. Unfortunate answer is in a worse place than before. bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
This makes Witkoff's "only one" wish that Trump win the Nobel Prize all the more insulting. Since Trump embraced Putin's positions in Alaska, Russia has only stepped up its attacks, secure in the conviction there will be no consequences and confident that time is on its side.
This makes Witkoff's "only one" wish that Trump win the Nobel Prize all the more insulting. Since Trump embraced Putin's positions in Alaska, Russia has only stepped up its attacks, secure in the conviction there will be no consequences and confident that time is on its side.
In a new piece in @just_security, I suggest looking at the 1979 Taiwan Relations Act as a model for how to offer security guarantees to Ukraine. In absence of NATO membership, not forthcoming, a long-term commitment to arm Ukraine may be the best option. justsecurity.org/119517/securit…
This tactic applies not just to Gaza today but has been his approach to a Palestinian peace agreement and a nuclear deal with Iran for decades--setting unattainable conditions to justify rejecting all deals but ostensibly supporting negotiations to deflect outside pressure.
This tactic applies not just to Gaza today but has been his approach to a Palestinian peace agreement and a nuclear deal with Iran for decades--setting unattainable conditions to justify rejecting all deals but ostensibly supporting negotiations to deflect outside pressure.
Tom Donilon's review of @EdwardGLuce Brzezinski biography is superb (as is the book itself.) Both underscore Zbig’s clear-eyed view of Russia, ideological consistency over time, and willingness to speak truth to power--all in such contrast to what we see in the White House today.
Tom Donilon's review of @EdwardGLuce Brzezinski biography is superb (as is the book itself.) Both underscore Zbig’s clear-eyed view of Russia, ideological consistency over time, and willingness to speak truth to power--all in such contrast to what we see in the White House today.
Since this post last Sunday Russia has refuted the US claim that it agreed to security guarantees for Ukraine, thrown cold water on proposed trilateral summit, fired over 600 drones and missiles at Ukraine, struck a US-owned factory, reiterated its demands to keep all of the…
Since this post last Sunday Russia has refuted the US claim that it agreed to security guarantees for Ukraine, thrown cold water on proposed trilateral summit, fired over 600 drones and missiles at Ukraine, struck a US-owned factory, reiterated its demands to keep all of the…
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