Prediction Markets @PredictionMkts

A nonprofit that researches and operates prediction markets and other experimental markets. prediction.markets Boston, MA Joined January 2019

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TheMoneyIllusion @MoneyIllusion

6 years ago

Fracking drives manufacturing dlvr.it/R41VZK

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TheMoneyIllusion @MoneyIllusion

6 years ago

Inching toward NGDP targeting dlvr.it/R3ygkK

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Robin Hanson @robinhanson

6 years ago

My book w/ @kevinsimler, Elephant in the Brain, was officially published 18 months ago. Publisher says it has sold 21K copies so far. On Goodreads it has 1810 ratings & 223 reviews. So ~9% of readers have rated it & 1% have reviewed it there. elephantinthebrain.com

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TheMoneyIllusion @MoneyIllusion

7 years ago

What should we make of current market signals? dlvr.it/R3l9YZ

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TheMoneyIllusion @MoneyIllusion

7 years ago

The Swiss still have plenty of ammo dlvr.it/R3l9Wr

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TheMoneyIllusion @MoneyIllusion

7 years ago

Tyler Cowen on Fed nominees. dlvr.it/R3dVyq

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TheMoneyIllusion @MoneyIllusion

7 years ago

NGDP growth and interest rates dlvr.it/R3dVxk

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Robin Hanson @robinhanson

7 years ago

My book Elephant in the Brain, coauthored w/ @kevinsimler, is to be translated to Romanian! elephantinthebrain.com

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Robin Hanson @robinhanson

7 years ago

Grad & advanced undergrads, apply to our Public Choice Outreach Conf, where I'll talk on futarchy. Deadline May 1. publicchoice.gmu.edu/center-program…

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Robin Hanson @robinhanson

7 years ago

.@paulfchristiano responds to my critique in a comment at my blog post: overcomingbias.com/2019/04/agency…

Robin Hanson @robinhanson

7 years ago

.@paulfchristiano responds to my critique in a comment at my blog post: overcomingbias.com/2019/04/agency…

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Robin Hanson @robinhanson

7 years ago

My podcast w Brendan Carr on Elephant in the Brain: youtube.com/watch?v=lA1Fmx…

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TheMoneyIllusion @MoneyIllusion

7 years ago

What smart people think, and where to start dlvr.it/R2xsrq

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Robin Hanson @robinhanson

7 years ago

My general presumption for more & symmetric info, + concrete benefits on tax & other corruption, pushed me to favor publishing tax records, contrary to @tylercowen. As they do in Scandinavia, Wisconsin, US property taxes, & as US feds did in 1861 & 1924. overcomingbias.com/2019/04/publis…

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TheMoneyIllusion @MoneyIllusion

7 years ago

Lessons from Greece dlvr.it/R2tXM6

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TheMoneyIllusion @MoneyIllusion

7 years ago

Qualifications for the Fed dlvr.it/R2VjSQ

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Robin Hanson @robinhanson

7 years ago

My talk at Princeton last November on Long Legacies & Fights: youtube.com/watch?v=fZX7h9…

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TheMoneyIllusion @MoneyIllusion

7 years ago

Paying for the Green New Deal dlvr.it/R2K7LW

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TheMoneyIllusion @MoneyIllusion

7 years ago

Am I the only person who believes . . . dlvr.it/R2BHYh

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Robin Hanson @robinhanson

7 years ago

"the book … made a very successful turn in delivering a bunch of new ideas and useful insights soon after. Therefore I can conclude that I very much would recommend this book & enjoyed reading it a lot." riedlanna.com/blog/on-the-el…

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Robin Hanson @robinhanson

7 years ago

"Robin Hanson, by contrast, is a partisan of optimization; he speaks out against bias & unprincipled favoritism and in favor of systems like prediction markets which would force the 'best ideas to win'” Yes AGENTS should optimize. But I'm okay w/ individuals being free to waste.