Jason Haver @PretzelLogic

Independent trader; writer/market analyst; enthusiast photographer; reluctant Twitter participant PretzelCharts.com Live in Hawaii; born/raised PA Joined November 2008

Tweets

2K
Followers

2K
Following

86
Likes

3K

Jason Haver @PretzelLogic

3 months ago

America’s collapse wouldn’t lead to Chinese dominance. It would lead to global chaos. The idea that China is next in line to take over is built on a seductive fallacy. It assumes that if one power falls, another will naturally rise. Here’s why that’s dangerously wrong 🧵

1 2 8 449 2

Download Image

Jason Haver @PretzelLogic

2 days ago

Truth is more than “something to believe in" -- Truth is the only non-insane foundation for life. Everything else decays.

0 2 9 328 0

Jason Haver @PretzelLogic

3 days ago

This is a false equivalence between engineered systems (e.g., planes) and model-driven inference chains (e.g., climate projections). It also smuggles in a pragmatic trust fallacy: that trust in experts in one domain justifies uncritical trust across all domains. It further…

0 1 3 206 0

Download Image

Jason Haver @PretzelLogic

6 days ago

AI took its first fast food job... and was immediately fired. 😂

Battle Beagle @HarmlessYardDog

a week ago

AI took its first fast food job... and was immediately fired. 😂

475 5K 140K 9.0M 8K

Download Image

0 0 3 321 0

Jason Haver @PretzelLogic

2 weeks ago

"Why is the market rallying during QT?" (Whence Comes the Liquidity?) Dispelling the myth that QE and QT aren't market drivers. They absolutely are -- they're just far from being the ONLY factors in the total liquidity picture. Today's "bonus" update: pretzelcharts.com

0 1 3 317 0

Jason Haver @PretzelLogic

3 months ago

Here's an AI impact no one’s talking about yet: Upcoming generations will not be able to say -- with any certainty -- who among them is truly creative. Because AI can now generate novels, photos, songs, art... And what will be lost isn’t just credit. It’s identity.

1 2 9 962 2

Download Image

Jason Haver @PretzelLogic

2 weeks ago

Where the Liquidity’s Coming From (Even During QT): How #Stocks can rally while the #Fed drains (because other faucets are still wide open). (dual-posted to Substack/blog) pretzellogic.substack.com/p/where-liquid…

0 0 2 173 1

Jason Haver @PretzelLogic

2 weeks ago

🤨

0 1 3 207 0

Download Image

Jason Haver @PretzelLogic

2 weeks ago

People who have no concept of human error or mechanical failure. The landing gear passes about 4 feet over some of their heads. I'll never understand why some people are attracted to the idea of "abject risk with zero possibility of reward."

Saffron Sniper @Saffron_Sniper1

2 weeks ago

264 1K 11K 7.9M 3K

Download Video

0 0 2 305 0

Jason Haver @PretzelLogic

3 weeks ago

"Are You Trading or Gambling? And... Are You Sure?" Trading (and life) require brutal levels of self-honesty. pretzellogic.substack.com/p/are-you-trad…

0 1 5 249 0

Jason Haver @PretzelLogic

a month ago

So the #Hawaii #Tsunami2025 was another non-event -- reminding me of something I wrote back in 2013 regarding how repeated nonevents, be they tsunamis or government debt, breed a sort of unfounded and somewhat dangerous complacency:

1 1 15 4K 2

Download Image

Jason Haver @PretzelLogic

a month ago

#Hawaii civil defense has been triggering the #Tsunamiwarning sirens every hour on the first quarter of the hour. Managed to catch the end of the last one at 6:15ish local HI time, if you ever wondered what they sound like. #Tsunami #Earthquake #Russia

4 4 13 4K 3

Download Video

Jason Haver @PretzelLogic

a month ago

We're under major #Tsunamiwarning in Hawaii RN due to the 8.7 #earthquake in Russia. So in the unusual event there's no market update tomorrow, assume infrastructure issues. We live close to the ocean but will drive inland at the expected arrival time. And there go the sirens...