Chris™ @ProbableChris
I trade $NQ using statistical and probabilistic concepts, along with custom tools I created, based on my view of the market. I own @NQStats. linktr.ee/ProbableChris More Info 👉 Joined November 2016-
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Took Monday off as it was a holiday. Woke up today and decided to take the rest of the week off from trading as well. Going to enjoy some time away from the charts. Good luck to those trading. How has everyone done so far this week?
Would like to better understand where the bulk of the audience is in their trading journey to guide future content.
I do not normally trade Fridays because when Fridays are at high/low of week, the market tends to consolidate there to close the week out, providing sub par price action. However, this Friday was internal and ran for the low of week. It was a banger day for me, catching the open…
I posted a few videos using the last few days of price action to show the Noon Curve, ALN Sessions, and IB Breaks concepts/stats. The video will walk through utilizing these stats and provide some context with real trade examples. Entry criteria/strategy is not discussed. You can…
youtu.be/lhkMb_k7TWk This video is using the 8/29/2025 session to showcase a prime example of when all data points line up for the IB Breaks stats and provides some context specific to price movement when expecting the continuation to occur.
youtu.be/TLlVm9E2ck4 This video is using the 8/28/2025 session to showcase a prime example of when all data points line up for the ALN Session stats and provides some context specific to price movement when expecting the continuation to occur.
youtu.be/c6rKQ7uIUKI This video is using the 8/27/2025 session to showcase a prime example of when all data points line up for the Noon Curve and provides some context specific to price movement when expecting the continuation to occur. For more information visit
youtu.be/il-vbXsahjo I created a video outlining what I believe to be the key components of any consistently profitable trader, with a tool at the end you can use to piece it all together. This is my opinion, derived from my time participating in the market. Others may…
Talking with someone in DM's about how emotional factors are holding them back. The best thing I can say on this is that you need to refocus how you look at trading outcomes. The goal should never be to make a green trade. Instead it should be specific to following your…
Going to be changing the content I put out. My intent was never to provide something for others to "mimic" but rather provide a baseline of data and context that could be added to your current strategies to increase your odds/edge and potentially keep you on the right side of the…
I get asked probably 1-3 times a week, whether in replies or in DM's, if I can share my entry criteria/strategy. My answer is always the same...No. Here is the reasoning.... Main Reason: I truly believe that a consistently profitable process comes from something you have created…
$NQ 8/21/2025 Recap -0.5R Didnt have time for a vid today, but ended red.Took some equity open attempts both closed early due to no follow through. This netted like +0.5R total. Than attempted an IB High long but took a -1R loss on that. How did everyone else do?
There has been some very large range this morning. Since equity open, NQ has dropped 400pts to the AM low. While a Noon Curve new PM low may visually look logical, these big range AM's are usually the days where AM will put in the high and low, and PM will cop inside it, giving…

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