Interesting interview w/ Russell Napier.
TL;DR - We're entering an era of national capitalism and thus a massive capex boom. Nations will be heavy-handed about repatriating capital and directing it towards matters of "life and death" (defense, energy independence, technology)
Framework to think about India's opportunity in the next decade
Credit to my friend Shantanu Rastogi - (head of GA India)
Rather than thinking about average GDP look at how many households in India will make >$50k to $75k/ year by 2030.
Our asset is developers. India will have…
Spend 15%+ of your GDP on infra for 2 decades and of course cities will look modern and cyberpunk.
The question is if China can sustain this level of spend after all the roads, trains, and bridges are built. Most developed countries spend <5% of GDP on infra for a reason.
Spend 15%+ of your GDP on infra for 2 decades and of course cities will look modern and cyberpunk.
The question is if China can sustain this level of spend after all the roads, trains, and bridges are built. Most developed countries spend <5% of GDP on infra for a reason.
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