Regina Nuzzo @ReginaNuzzo
Journalist, stats prof, and Senior Advisor for Statistics Communication & Media Innovation at the American Statistical Association. Opinions are my own. reginanuzzo.com Washington, DC Joined July 2010-
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Great video by @milesobrien @NewsHour of @philipbstark showing how stats can give us confidence in election results. Risk-limiting audits are amazingly powerful! (Bonus: a peek into Phil's famous wild-food-foraging kitchen)
Great video by @milesobrien @NewsHour of @philipbstark showing how stats can give us confidence in election results. Risk-limiting audits are amazingly powerful! (Bonus: a peek into Phil's famous wild-food-foraging kitchen)
Stats students: Interested in writing for broad audiences? I encourage you to apply! @amstat sponsors a special AAAS Mass Media Fellowship for a person with substantial training in stats. Past ASA/AAAS Mass Media Fellows have written for Slate, STAT News & NPR. #statstwitter
Stats students: Interested in writing for broad audiences? I encourage you to apply! @amstat sponsors a special AAAS Mass Media Fellowship for a person with substantial training in stats. Past ASA/AAAS Mass Media Fellows have written for Slate, STAT News & NPR. #statstwitter
We are stat professors with the American Statistical Association, and we’re thrilled to talk to you about the statistics behind voting. Ask us anything! statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/10/13/we-…
TODAY 11 am ET: Reddit AMA on the statistics behind voting! 🗳️ Featuring Mary Gray from American U and Andrew Gelman @StatModeling from Columbia U Comments are pouring in already: reddit.com/r/politics/com… @AmstatNews
Studies show we have a tough time conceptualizing percentages. Is there a better way to illustrate risk and uncertainty? Science journalist @ReginaNuzzo presents "Brain-Hacking Stats Communication: A Quick Tour" at #Zelen2020. Event details: bit.ly/Zelen20.
As of 2018, the US birth rate is approximately 0.455 Miles per hour. Data sourced from: ssa.gov/oact/babynames…
#JSM2020 Looking forward to this: Eugenics and Its Intersection with Statistics and Society Over Time: A Conversation amstat-jsm.conferencecontent.net/session/220176
@NP_Jewell: There are 11 million college students in the US - 11 million people traveling is a real threat for virus spread. Very few colleges are set up to handle this appropriately.
@NP_Jewell @brittajewell We have time for one question: What is going to happen as we open elementary schools, high schools, and colleges❓: @brittajewell: it is almost mathematically impossible to think that there will not be increased infections if we are increase interactions
@NP_Jewell "You can’t solve the economic crisis without addressing the public health crisis” - @NP_Jewell
@NP_Jewell outlines issues with the widely used IHME model including: *️⃣ intial “curve fitting” approach rather than epidemiological mathematical model (now a hybrid is used) *️⃣ inaccurate uncertainty estimates doi.org/10.7326/M20-15…
@NP_Jewell @brittajewell @NP_Jewell describes exactly why epidemic projection is so challenging for statisticians: “If you’ve seen one epidemic, you’ve seen one epidemic"
@NP_Jewell @brittajewell A better metric is *excess mortality* ☝️ estimate how many deaths we *would have seen* without #COVID19 ✌️ compare to what we are seeing now
@NP_Jewell @brittajewell Comparing the Naive Case Fatality Ratio across populations is problematic without adjusting for: 👴 age distribution 🤧 co-morbitidies 💊 treatement differences 🏥 hospital utilization 🕑 stage in the epidemic
@NP_Jewell is now on, discussing the discrepency between case fatality rate and infection fatality rate: CFR: numerator: number of #COVID19 deaths denominator: # of confirmed cases IFR: numerator: number of #COVID19 deaths denominator: total # of cases (both detected and not)
@brittajewell Because the spread is *exponential* the timing of mitigation is important. @brittajewell’s team showed that starting interventions 2 weeks earlier could reduce deaths by 90%. The actual *number* of deaths here is not the focus (& are based on old #s) but rather the % reduction
@brittajewell Now the infamous R0 - the basic reproductive number. This is the *average* number of people an infected person is expected to infect. For #COVID19, @brittajewell says this is estimated to be between 2 and 3
Currently the US test positivity rate is 10% - despite the increased testing capactity, the US is still not testing enough. 📉 For context, the WHO has said the target for beginning to reopen is a sustained positivity rate below 5%.
@NP_Jewell This lecture is going to go through a series of myths about #COVID19, addressing the validity of each, @brittajewell starts with discussing the ✈️ travel ban put in place in January
@NP_Jewell begins by discussing *variability* 📈 This is an epidemic made up of several sub-epidemics. When you’re looking at epidemic curves you’re seeing the average, which is changing over time, but there is variability that isn’t shown
Chelsea Parlett-Pelle.. @ChelseaParlett
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61 Followers 221 Following Chandler Gilbert Community College Psychology faculty Love teaching Intro psyc, stats, developmental Mom of 4 U of Arizona, BA U of Kansas, MA & PhDIntegrated Marketing .. @Regina_IMP
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270 Followers 428 FollowingStatistics Dept - U o.. @StatsUMan
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42K Followers 52 Following I am an appellate lawyer and persnickety dude. As a hobby, I correct typos in the Times, which no longer employs copy editors and consequently has tons of typosMine Çetinkaya-Runde.. @minebocek
16K Followers 1K Following @[email protected] @DukeU + @posit_pbc, 💜 #rstats + #RLadies, 🖋 @OpenIntroOrg + @citizenstat. cat videos = instant smiles. she/her.Jerome Pesenti @an_open_mind
17K Followers 287 Following Founder @Sizzle_AI. Ex @MetaAI, @Benevolent_AI, @IBMWatson, co-founder Vivisimo (acq. by IBM).Debashis Ghosh @ghoshd
2K Followers 2K Following Professor and Chair @cobiostats. Lover of Data, Inference, Music, Computing and Coffee, not necessarily in that order. (Re)tweets my own. He/him@Pin__Terest @kareem_carr it’s even broader. the criticism exists almost since the p values introduction. one big resource is the american statistical association special issue form 2019 with looots of articles tandfonline.com/toc/utas20/73/…
@kareem_carr Are you talking about something like the paper attached, or something else, or both ? ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
The failure of the p-value is an alignment problem. It's an algorithmic construct that doesn't do what people think it does, and which has caused profound social harm because of that misalignment.
@Pin__Terest @kareem_carr this is a nice primer imo(: nature.com/articles/50615…
If your girl is: - pleasingly symmetrical - normal-ish - fat tailed 🍑 That’s not your girl, that’s a t-distribution with df = 2
It also suffers from the fact sicker people seek care for COVID19 Missing tons of the denominator And just generally being a nearly thoughtless analysis.
I would be embarrassed to publish this paper which does not adjust for increased diagnostic labeling/ ascertainment bias But it is more embarrassing for the federal government to tweet a silly infographic.
New @CDCMMWR: Approximately 1 in 5 adults ages 18+ experience a new condition a month or more after surviving #COVID19. More: bit.ly/MMWR7121.
In @AmstatNews, #JEDI member Professor @matthew_hayat shares his ASA Story. Matt is passionate about stats education, quantitative literacy & accessibility. He talks about meeting his first friend who also had "bionic ears" (cochlear implants) at JSM 2018. magazine.amstat.org/blog/2022/05/0…
Police indicate they are aware of the video that appears to have been posted by the #VanNess shooter on @Streamable
I love #TidyTuesday because 3/4 of it is like actual tidyverse content like data viz/analysis and 1/4 of it is just straight up boobs
Which dog you should get if you want to be an edge lord/lady/person: The less popular dog breeds between 2014 and 2020. A little late with week 5 of #TidyTuesday. Hopefully I'll get faster over time. Code: github.com/bettina-mj-ker… #rstats #ggplot2 #gganimate #datavisualisation
Thanks for all the ❤️s, retweets, & kind words about our paper! One more 🙌 to everyone who made it possible, esp. co-first authors @dmoracze & @nikhil_r_goyal who spearheaded the whole project. Thx also to everyone tagged in these pics (& @AndersonWinkler w/disabled photo tags)!
Our paper is live! Can fMRI measure well-being? Can the "positive-negative axis" from @fmrib_steve et al. be seen in a larger, independent dataset w/younger subs collected across sites and scanners? Want it as a preregistered replication? Read on! doi.org/10.1098/rsos.2… 1/14
It is the responsibility of public health scientists to communicate with the whole population, not just with their own tribe.
So many good people sacrificed so much to comply with the failed Covid policies. I am grateful to live in a country with so many public-spirited people. It is the architects of lockdowns & the panic-mongers whose thinking needs repudiation so their mistakes are never repeated.
If you want perspective on how how people <35 die in the US, relative to COVID, take a look. It would be nice if we placed a proportionate amount of societal energy into preserving life via prevention of MV acc, ODs, homicide, suicide, & drownings (not shown but 12x more for <5)
I'm not outraged, I'm heartbroken. I lost my career in academia, my letters of recommendation, and my entire vision of how my life would unfold as a professor. I lost all that because I kept an open mind & discovered an inconvenient truth that undermined the false consensus.
100 million kids were thrown into multidimensional poverty. Tens of millions of kids are missing from schools. Child mental health is in crisis, deaths of despair rose. Test scores showed the largest & most inequitable drop in the history of test scores.
I quit academic science *because* of the politics of COVID, the culture of hostility, that started at the top brass of US medical funding agencies who overstepped their authority, powerful professors who overexploited their fame to monopolize public deliberations, and more.
Scientists' collective failure to tame their online mob mentality, their failure to protect young scientists & open-mindedly consider competing views, damns our entire public scientific enterprise. I'm now unconvinced these institutions are capable of internal reform.
Our federal institutions, our national mainstream media, credentialism and the richest private universities' names were all weaponized towards anticompetitive scientific practices that undermined and implicates science, scientists, and our entire academic + media ecosystem.