The Bitcoin Researcher @ResearchBTCNow
Independent #Bitcoin researcher of onchain data from own node. Creator of Bitcoin Lab - open onchain analysis suite. Follow for original research & commentary. researchbitcoin.net Europe Joined September 2021-
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Still feel this cycle is early? Across cycles, #Bitcoin long-term holders (LTH) have realized tremendous and increasing profits. The Area Under the Curve of Realized Profit LTH confirms this cycle is NO exception. ‼️AUC integrates magnitude and time, not just price spikes.
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Bitcoin Quantile Regression Model on log y-scale excluding mania phases reflects how most investors feel. We are at "fair value", but bitcoin has not been in bubble territory since mid 2022. The model tracks "fair price" quite well, arguably as well as the power law.
#Bitcoin Realized Cap comparing valuation with that 30 days ago provides an interesting view on the money flows into the network. Since Oct 2023, inflows has been positive with clear peaks and troughs. Perhaps we should expect one more reset before continuation? I do...
Bitcoin Price Risk PRO is currently at 0.78. Price Risk PRO ranges between 0 and 1. You can find this chart (and 300+ more on-chain charts) at researchbitcoin.net/charts/ I am tracking Price Risk PRO closely, read more here: researchbitcoin.net/the-bitcoin-re…
The Bitcoin Researcher retweeted
LTH started taking profits since the beginning of July, which in this cycle has each time led to a new rally. So keep that in your mind. The large profits of STH have just started to cool off amid the recent chop, which is great and doesn’t happen very often in ATH regions. The…
The Bitcoin Researcher retweeted
The MVRV measures whether the market is in a state of profit or loss. A great indicator to use in the short as also in the longterm. Everything above 3 counts as onther selling confluence for me within this cycle. Detailed Description below👇
The Bitcoin Researcher retweeted
This is a great chart from @_Checkmatey_'s latest note $BTC
The Bitcoin Researcher retweeted
80K $BTC in Motion: Is Galaxy Digital Pulling the Trigger? 📉 Let’s dive in: 🧵 ⤵️ 1️⃣ On 4 Jul a dormant Satoshi-era wallet re-awakened, starting to move its entire 80,202 BTC to Galaxy Digital’s trading desk. 2️⃣ 15 Jul — First tranche 9,000 BTC arrives at Galaxy; within hours…
80K $BTC in Motion: Is Galaxy Digital Pulling the Trigger? 📉 Let’s dive in: 🧵 ⤵️ 1️⃣ On 4 Jul a dormant Satoshi-era wallet re-awakened, starting to move its entire 80,202 BTC to Galaxy Digital’s trading desk. 2️⃣ 15 Jul — First tranche 9,000 BTC arrives at Galaxy; within hours…
This observation by @jratcliff is true and critical. I would not listen to advice from any so-called AI expert who does not mention this.
The Bitcoin Researcher retweeted
crazy how many analysts skip step 1 of analytics 101: knowing how the datasets they use are made and their potential flaws you should question your data sources a lot more
The Bitcoin Researcher retweeted
Awesome tool, thank you! @ResearchBTCNow Highly recommended👇
Awesome tool, thank you! @ResearchBTCNow Highly recommended👇
🚀 Big thanks to everyone exploring #Bitcoin on-chain with us at researchbitcoin.net! Both charts and API available! We’re scaling up to meet growing demand — and soon, our API will deliver real-time on-chain data as it happens. Stay tuned! #BitcoinAnalytics #OnchainData
The Bitcoin Researcher retweeted
Long-term holders dump on hype, some buy the top. Meanwhile, miners just keep stacking blocks like nothing ever happened. #Bitcoin
The Bitcoin Researcher retweeted
#Bitcoin's price is set on exchanges. Its value, however, emerges from the real world - as a response to deeper questions. That value goes beyond its USD price. It's almost like pricing water. The total amount of water is constant, endlessly recycled, and resold.
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