Solid critique by @RichardTol Also it uses RCP8.5 as a baseline to estimate the emergence of a signal of climate policy ~2050 Had they used a plausible baseline (e.g., SSP2-4.5 or lower) that signal of climate policy likely would not emerge until 2100 or later 🤷♂️
Solid critique by @RichardTol Also it uses RCP8.5 as a baseline to estimate the emergence of a signal of climate policy ~2050 Had they used a plausible baseline (e.g., SSP2-4.5 or lower) that signal of climate policy likely would not emerge until 2100 or later 🤷♂️
Taken at face value, rather than supporting the case for more aggressive mitigation, this paper leads inevitably to the conclusion, "why bother?" I don't believe the paper or this conclusion BTW
@RogerPielkeJr @RichardTol I think Richard Tol makes an important conclusion. Nature has published an implausible economics argument. For a plausible economics discussion go to an Economics journal.