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Futures and options involve substantial risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future return. Calgary, ABJoined January 2024
Anyone else feel like the SnD's for oilseeds in N.America gets discounted to what the true NEED is from crushers for the product?
Over 50% of Soybeans and Canola production goes to crushers, that's like saying the first 6-months after harvest ALL SEED PRODUCED is going into…
Do we continue to see funds buying oilseeds and a big Friday CFTC report or do they back off and we trade a slow sideways move until policy and yield are confirmed in the next 1-2 weeks? 🤔
photo of MM on #soybean (left) #canola (right)
Much anticipated Augusts WASDE comes out at 11AM CST. Are you hedged accordingly to your marketing plan going into the report?
usda.gov/about-usda/gen…
Green on the board this morning for grains and oilseeds!
Beans with a big move after a Trump tweet last night referencing Chinese need for US beans.
#oilseeds#soybeans#wheat
A highlight from Mark's time on the @Farm4ProfitLLC podcasts discussing the concept of being "long" from a farmers perspective and what that means for farm risk.
Check out the podcast below and learn even more about what we are doing at @SimpleHedge_App for #farmers and what it…
A highlight from Mark's time on the @Farm4ProfitLLC podcasts discussing the concept of being "long" from a farmers perspective and what that means for farm risk.
Check out the podcast below and learn even more about what we are doing at @SimpleHedge_App for #farmers and what it…
🌾 Grain prices may be unpredictable — but your farm’s future doesn’t have to be.
In this episode of the Farm4Profit Podcast, we talk with Mark from @SimpleHedge_App, the platform helping farmers take control of market volatility and make smarter grain marketing moves.
Here’s…
Just going to leave these two maps here...
BUT I will add that board margin on new crop Canola is $185/MT CAD while ICE Canola RSX25 is sitting below $700/MT and weak new crop basis with a lot of shiny new crush plants needing to be paid off...
#Canola#beans#Corn#Agtwitter…
💰All it took was war premium easing in energy to wipe out ~26¢/bu in Beans and $32/MT in Canola.
Add in timely Midwest & Western Canada rains—and the profit potential outlook changed fast on oilseeds.
We saw SimpleHedge users lock in the high prices by protecting themselves…
🚀 ICE Canola Surging🚀
Canola up $149/MT in the last 3 months on New Crop!
🛢️Board Crush margins rebounding on optimistic 45Z inclusion ($163/MT!)
☀️Weather threatening Western Canada yields= tighter production, small Carryout
💰Funds with a big long of 105k contracts
How…
🚨 Western Canada Drought Monitor🚨
In case you missed it, see below image....
This is % of Normal Soil Moisture in the Canadian Prairies as of June 9th...
If you notice anything, low soil moisture is concentrated around major canola-growing regions and Crush Plants, all of…
📰 June WASDE out today!
Historically, June WASDE doesn't have significant changes and focuses on fine tuning old crop supply and demand figures.
HOWEVER, not everything is "cut and dry" every WASDE so ensure you have at least some marketing strategy in place for any major…
🚨CGC Weekly NOTE ISSUE🚨
Anyone catch the CGC weekly Note for Dom Disappearance??
"Large Revision have been reported by licensed elevators that affected Crop Year to Date totals this week"
Sneaky and not identifying it. Quick glance, me thinks someone took their crush canola…
🌾Wheat Unchanged!
This past month New Crop Chicago and Kansas Wheat have been on a ride, but after today’s close- Both nearly unchanged in price for the past month.
How do we think it closes out tomorrow for the Month of May?
Any thoughts on where funds will be?…
🚨 Trump reconsiders 50% tariffs on EU — markets brace for possible EU corn & soy washouts.
Here’s the twist:
🇪🇺 EU has already taken in most of its 3.7MMT of corn & 5MMT of soy commitments
🇺🇸 But U.S. exports are surging
→ Total Soybean commitments just 2MMT shy of WASDE #…
🚨Canola Keep Running?🚨
As of May 5th, CGC weekly has Canola "disappearance" at 16.7MMT, against 17.8MMT production for 24/25 with a Carry In of a 3.1MMT (20.9MMT Total Supply)
Crush has another theoretical 2.6MMT to go, leaving only 1.4MMT C/O ASSUMING no more EXPORTS!…
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