SimpleIsBest @SimpleIB2022

Joined August 2022

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SimpleIsBest @SimpleIB2022

4 months ago

全球化给世界带来了高增长，低通胀的好时光。那逆全球化会带来什么呢？#滞涨 #stagflation

SimpleIsBest @SimpleIB2022

5 months ago

所谓的“交易的艺术”，本质上无非是不惜牺牲甚至主动破坏共同利益，掀桌子，来逼迫对方让步。他的谈判力量不是来自于建设，二是破坏。希望这不会成为我们这个商业社会的主流。 #交易的艺术

SimpleIsBest @SimpleIB2022

5 months ago

有些人的力量来自于创新和建设，有些人的力量来自于破坏和伤害。可悲的是，人类历史上的很多阶段，后者被更多人追捧，因而有更大的权力。今天Nvidia被美国政府的管制，又是一个很令人悲哀的例子。#Nvidia #H20

SimpleIsBest @SimpleIB2022

5 months ago

在关税问题上，很多人的一个argument是美国是采购方，是甲方，自然有更多的主动性和谈判筹码。但是在另一面，美国的贸易赤字是靠资本账户的顺差来获得融资才能得以支撑的。那么这另一面，其他国家不就是甲方，是采购方（购买美国的金融资产，特别是国债）吗？这不就是最近两天戏剧性演进的局面吗？

SimpleIsBest @SimpleIB2022

5 months ago

如此“交易的艺术”，还在沾沾自喜，还有这么多人捧臭脚，真是太精彩了。自以为是，大大方方，毫不掩饰，理直气壮地出洋相，也是一种“实力”，也是一种“艺术”，一种“行为艺术”。

SimpleIsBest @SimpleIB2022

5 months ago

事出反常必有妖。

SimpleIsBest @SimpleIB2022

5 months ago

这是一个比烂的时代。

SimpleIsBest @SimpleIB2022

5 months ago

现任美国正副总统总喜欢把对手有没有牌挂在嘴边。他们确实也没有说错。有些牌，比如规则、道义等等，对于文明人来说，本来是极有力量的牌，但是你一旦抛弃了这些文明世界的规则，对手自然是无牌可打了。而最可悲的是，这些规则原本是自一战、二战以来由美国所极力主导建立的。

SimpleIsBest @SimpleIB2022

6 months ago

一个黑老大没实力支撑原来的大摊子，准备收缩地盘，转而管好自己家事的时候，跟着他的小弟会最受伤：没人罩着了，弱点都暴露出来；而此时，这个黑老大要是更狠一点，利用自己残存的实力，在收缩之前捞最后一把，最好的对象就是这些小弟。而原本的对手反而是黑老大要示好的对象。

SimpleIsBest @SimpleIB2022

6 months ago

当你买进某只股票的时候，最好想清楚，你买进的到底是什么。有时候不同的人买入相同的一只股票，其实往往不是同一只股票。各花入各眼，同一朵花一旦入了不同的眼，就已经不是同一朵花了。

SimpleIsBest @SimpleIB2022

7 months ago

AI威胁人类，不需要进化到AGI，现在已经开始了。那些推荐算法造成的信息茧房，已经足够分裂并摧毁人类社会。Musk的警告是对的，但他本身却是这一进程的最大推动者。

SimpleIsBest @SimpleIB2022

7 months ago

光脚的不怕穿鞋的，但是光脚的都想成为穿鞋的。这就是这个世界不断重复的循环。

SimpleIsBest @SimpleIB2022

7 months ago

这个世界糟透了！

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#Bitcoin 和 #Dogecoin 信仰者、老韭菜、囤币党。
《旷野之心》作者， https://t.co/1Yzc9eeAKV
商务合作：不接单次低于5000U的广告合作。（X私信开放）

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