_Stephanie Link @Stephanier_Link
Chief Investment Strategist, Head of Investment Solutions & PM at Hightower Advisors. CNBC contributor. Treasure family time & a good run. Proud BC alum. NJ/NY Joined August 2017-
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Few interesting tidbits this week: Atlanta tracker 2.5%, productivity 2.4%, weekly claims in check at 226K & "weak" ISM still 50+. EPS growth running +10% growth. Keep line of site. Have always thought Amy Winehouse ahead of her time with her voice - You know I'm no good
$ELAN: beat/raise org growth and EBITDA. Org growth in Q was 8% vs 4.6% expectations with Companion Animal up 10%. Key: raised 2025 innovation sales guide to $720-800M (from $660-740M) suggesting ~$259m-$339m in incremental innovation contributions in 2025. #AnimalHealth
$UBER: What an opportunity when it was down 5% pre-mkt. Beat/raise EBITDA & Bkg's. ATH in frequency, profitability, cust count, mobility, delivery. Sees accelerated trips in 3Q: product expansion, consumer demand, UBER ONE +60%y/y + MAPC +9 straight Qs.
$ETN: silly season continues with negative stock px reaction. The company had DC sales and orders up 55% with revs up 50% and took share w mkt up 30%. Sees $ content per MW rising for DC on higher power density per rack. Early innings still.
Great event with @MarketsGrp
$WFC: Good to be Charlie Scharf. Received a large equity award consisting of $30M in restricted shares and 1.05M options priced at $82.65. It's the first time the company has handed out options since 2013. Nice incentive to drive better co performance.
Had a really kind person that told me she made $300K on $GE. Well that’s worth it…
Went on AI. Something I’ve said for a while: Weekly jobless claims are generally considered a leading indicator of the labor market, while nonfarm payroll numbers are a coincident indicator. Weeklies have been coming down to 221K last 4 weeks. Just saying.
Beyond the "panic" from the macro last week - what was important to learn was that US cos AI capex spend is alive and well: collectively $GOOG $MSFT $AMZN $META will spend $400B in 2025 - close to what the entire EU will spend on defense at $410B. #electrification
Markets didn't have a good week but remember $SPX is up 25% from the April lows. Aug/Sept seasonally challenging but after that 4Q set up is well. EPS are beating x eventually that will matter. Enjoy Julia Michaels - Try your luck
$CMG RSI 25 for the best in class operator in the space.
$PWR: Power, power, power - the main topic on the call. Not enough of it. Another record backlog at $35.8B up 14% y/y driven by strong demand from technology, power gen, and energy storage solutions. Revs up 21%, org g up 6%, Op Inc in both divisions up y/y. #s headed higher.
$KKR: a cut above the rest w management fee growth at 9% Q/Q - strength across all segments, Fee related earnings up 22% Y/Y, solid net realizations and fundraising momentum.
$PANW: the $CYBR deal does a few things - increases the TAM by $60B, the ARR exposure/ growth and gives them more to offer to their customers. The 10% sell off is some arb action but an opportunity imho. @nikesharora
Must listen to conference calls: $META early innings we are actually in wrt AI/Superintelligence. $MSFT also gives great stats on how big Quantum Computing will be not to mention the upshift in Cloud growth as cos still in early adoption.
$META: outstanding Q with 38% y/y EPS growth, 22% y/y Revs w 21% y/y advertising. Op income up 38% y/y. OM 500 bps expansion y/y. Ad impressions up 10% and px/ad up 9%.
2Q GDP +3%, PCE 2.1%, core PCE 2.5% with 1.4% personal consumption. Pretty Goldilocks.
$GAP: another reset at Athleta w new head from $NKE. Athleisure space remains very competitive. share.google/wq1QNx29bV1hxE…
$VRT: beat/raise w organic sales +34% vs +18% guide led by Americas +43%. Orders beat +15% & bk to bill at 1.2x taking the backlog to $8.5bn. FCF of $277m at 75% conversion. AI/Data Center alive and well. $ETN $PWR $ROK etc
$UNH kitchen sinks 2025 at $16/sh - but a throw away year. The 2026 “return to growth” commentary might be enough for a very washed out stock and new/proven CEO.

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