Stephen Koukoulas @TheKouk
Treasury, Head of Global Strategy TD, Advisor to PM, punter. Speaker at Ode Management - https://t.co/dXJoiRJt1z MD Market Economics; Also https://t.co/kxt2ibOgfj thekouk.com Joined May 2009-
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Gross govt debt is $966 billion: Note there is $39 billion of debt maturing in November. aofm.gov.au
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ICYMI Collingwood won. And the economy is looking a lot better now than even a few months ago. RBA rate cuts are still needed to lock in the better news, but it might just be one or two more cuts from here on.
ICYMI Collingwood won. And the economy is looking a lot better now than even a few months ago. RBA rate cuts are still needed to lock in the better news, but it might just be one or two more cuts from here on.
More decent data: Household spending up 0.5% in July, 5.1% annual, the highest yearly since 2023 (when Collingwood were premiers). The trade surplus hit an 18 mth high of $7.3 billion. Expect even better news later tonight when Collingwood beat Adelaide. youtube.com/watch?v=t1Pkpt…
ICYMI Good data today. The recovery is edging along.
ICYMI Good data today. The recovery is edging along.
ICYMI Reasonable GDP result today - growth is picking up from a low base, but remains well below potential.
ICYMI Reasonable GDP result today - growth is picking up from a low base, but remains well below potential.
There has been a material change in recent weeks in market pricing for RBA interest rate cuts. This is an excellent table/chart set.
There has been a material change in recent weeks in market pricing for RBA interest rate cuts. This is an excellent table/chart set.
No surprises: 0.6% rise in June qtr GDP, up 1.8% y/y. With the mill stone of high interest rates gradually being removed, a further pick up in growth is on the cards. Productivity is up - GDP per hour worked +0.3% in the qtr; is now trending up. youtube.com/watch?v=hPEVxg…
Ahead of tomorrow's all important national accounts with GDP results included, some more less than robust data today. ICYMI
Ahead of tomorrow's all important national accounts with GDP results included, some more less than robust data today. ICYMI
Economic news - soggy. Govt demand grew 0.0% & will contribute 0.0ppts to GDP. Budget repair continues & some govt projects are ending. Net exports to add 0.1ppts to GDP. More rate cuts needed to enliven private sector spending, investment & job creation. youtube.com/watch?v=2tFrPV…
Stephen Koukoulas retweeted
Government reforms, falling interest rates and rising wages are combining to give first home buyers their best chance in years to break into the market. First home buyers finally get the upper hand in Australia’s housing market ~ @TheKouk independentaustralia.net/politics/polit…
ICYMI Great news today on inflation; choppy building approvals but the trend is still solidly up. Looking like GDP growth in June Qtr will be around 0.6% for an annual rise of 1.8%
ICYMI Great news today on inflation; choppy building approvals but the trend is still solidly up. Looking like GDP growth in June Qtr will be around 0.6% for an annual rise of 1.8%
ICYMI Rising house prices keep on rising. Looks like the pressures will remain tilted this way at least in the short term.
ICYMI Rising house prices keep on rising. Looks like the pressures will remain tilted this way at least in the short term.
Data deluge: low inflation, dwelling approvals trending up, company profits soft, wages solid. Good inflation news. MI gauge has prices down in August, annual 2.8%, trimmed 2.4%. While building approvals fell 8% this followed a 12% rise & the trend is up. youtube.com/watch?v=FFmVD1…
Stephen Koukoulas retweeted
Auckland and Sydney are touted as examples of good and bad housing policy respectively. Which house price series is Sydney?
House prices tracking higher as supply falters & demand remains strong. There's been a drop in new listings & population growth has been stronger than forecast. Good old supply & demand at play. With these issues remaining in place, house prices will rise. youtube.com/watch?v=EYcgnR…
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