PolicyEngine @ThePolicyEngine
We provide free, open-source software to simulate public policy. Follow our country accounts too: @PolicyEngineUS and @PolicyEngineUK policyengine.org UK + US Joined August 2021-
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🤝 Big news: PolicyEngine and @nberpubs have signed an MOU to ensure researchers worldwide continue accessing critical tax microsimulation tools. We're building an open-source TAXSIM emulator, combining NBER's 50+ years of tax expertise with modern open-source infrastructure.
🎉 @ThePolicyEngine has been awarded a $300,000 Phase I POSE grant from @NSF (Award No. 2518372) to expand our open-source platform, build sustainable governance, and grow our contributor community. We're grateful for NSF's support in democratizing policy analysis!
🎥 NEW: See how the One Big Beautiful Bill Act affects 20,000+ representative American households with our interactive tool. Every dot is a realistic household from our model. Explore by income, state, family type, and specific provisions like the child tax credit and SALT cap.
We're estimating the effect of @PolicyEngineUS's nonpartisan evidence on legislators' beliefs & voting behavior--and building state legislative district breakdowns of our results. Here's a mockup (the automated demo is...draft): policyengine.github.io/state-legislat…
🆕 We've launched the OBBBA Household Explorer—an interactive tool showing how the reconciliation bill affects individual households across America. Explore 40,000+ representative households from our microsimulation-grade dataset:
Congratulations to @NavaPBC Labs on receiving the $1.5M @Googleorg grant! This will enable expanded AI capabilities with our partner @ImagineLA. Our API calculates benefit amounts for Imagine LA's Benefit Navigator, and we're excited to be part of this growing community helping…
On SALT: Thanks to @PolicyEngineUS we can see that families (married w/ at least 1 kid) making $250k or $500k living in NY, NJ, and CA and in the 90th percentile (!) for itemized deductions pay lower taxes under either House or Senate OBBB but with a $30k SALT cap. Link below:
New: @Arnold_Ventures used PolicyEngine to compare taxes between TCJA expiration and House & Senate reconciliation bills, with $30k SALT cap. Married filers with one child, income of $250k/$500k, and 90th percentile deductions pay less tax under reconciliation bills in CA/NY/NJ.
New analysis: The 2025 American Family Act would expand the Child Tax Credit to $4,320 for children under 6 and $3,600 for children 6-17, with a $2,400 baby bonus for newborns. Our microsimulation shows the policy would cost $2.5 trillion over 10 years and cut child poverty 25%.
New coverage from The @Independent features our research. Link in thread:
New coverage from The @Independent features our research. Link in thread: https://t.co/aXYWAtRg8q
NEW ANALYSIS: We examined the Manager's Amendment to H.R.1, which modifies SALT deductions, AMT provisions, and itemized deduction limitations. Compared to the pre-amendment version, we found this would reduce revenue by $22 billion from 2026-35. 🧵
On April 28th, @GovGianforte signed House Bill 337, which reduces the state’s top income rate from 5.9% to 5.4% by 2027. The bill also increases the threshold for the lower income bracket and expands the state’s EITC match to 20% of the federal credit.
Utahns, join us in 30 minutes to learn about our simulation of recent changes to the tax rate, child credit, and Social Security credit! Link in next post.
🔍 NEW REPORT: Replacing the reconciliation bill's $30k->$10k SALT cap with the SALT Caucus's $62K cap ($124k for joint filers) would cost $497B over 10 years, while benefiting 3.7% of residents.
NEW REPORT: We project the @WaysandMeansGOP's SALT cap ($30K, phasing down to $10K at high incomes) would: - Raise $937B over 2026-35 - Reduce net income for 5.2% of US residents - Lower the Gini index of income inequality by 0.4% Full report in next post:
Here's how the One Big Beautiful Bill affects a family of four in 2026 (wages only, no special sources of deductions or credits). Full @PolicyEngineUS report coming tomorrow!
The new W&M draft increases the maximum CTC from $2,000 to $2,500 from 2025 to 2028. From 2029 onwards, it then sets it to $2,000, inflation-indexed with a 2024 base year. Applying CBO inflation projections yields: 2029-30: $2,200 2031-33: $2,300 2034-35: $2,400 Chart from…
I joined @Marketplace yesterday to discuss the new reconciliation bill:
In March, Utah cut its income tax rate from 4.55% to 4.5% and expanded its CTC and Social Security credit. We project that in 2025 this will: - Reduce state revenues by $96 million - Benefit 62% of Utah residents - Provide an average household benefit of $82 (rising with income…
.@Arnold_Ventures referenced our "SALTernative" calculator in their analysis of how the AMT created an effective SALT cap pre-TCJA. Their brief examines SALT cap and AMT exemption interactions ahead of TCJA's expiration.

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