Tom Haddon @TomH_Analyst
14 years as an energy market analyst, now working on asset transactions and investment advice across the energy industry. All views are my own. linkedin.com/in/tom-haddon-… Cardiff, Wales Joined June 2012-
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It looks as though the full power of Hornsea is starting to make an impact as 2024 wind is comfortably up. Yes it's been a bit windier but you get more bang for your buck as it's so rarely curtailed, being not in Scottish waters. See the tweet below for more detail on that.
It looks as though the full power of Hornsea is starting to make an impact as 2024 wind is comfortably up. Yes it's been a bit windier but you get more bang for your buck as it's so rarely curtailed, being not in Scottish waters. See the tweet below for more detail on that. https://t.co/NFO2T60zT6
If you are an analyst, your whole professional life is based on avoiding people who are smarter than you on the subject you are supposedly knowledgeable on. And if you do end up with someone who is smarter than you, stick in the room, sit silently, and steal all their knowledge.
If you are an analyst, your whole professional life is based on avoiding people who are smarter than you on the subject you are supposedly knowledgeable on. And if you do end up with someone who is smarter than you, stick in the room, sit silently, and steal all their knowledge.
The flippant take is that this will be another shock to Liz Truss who claimed *many* times during leadership debates that RR was building these already... But on a serious note, SMR policy (£210m funding for RR) appears to be descending into farce. energylivenews.com/2024/04/29/rol…
What have the Energy Systems Catapult done now!? @guynewey
The amount of responses along the lines of "iT wAS oNlY aN hOuR, lOl uNreIiaBlEs!!!" If only people understood the technical advances made to get to the grid being able to function for one hour with such low fossil fuel, and how it holds whether it is an hour or years on end.
The amount of responses along the lines of "iT wAS oNlY aN hOuR, lOl uNreIiaBlEs!!!" If only people understood the technical advances made to get to the grid being able to function for one hour with such low fossil fuel, and how it holds whether it is an hour or years on end.
Funnily enough I was stood on the platform at East Mids Parkway today for some time waiting for a connection. Brings home how hard it will be to decomm in the usual fun way (i.e. blowing it up) as you can almost reach out and touch the cooling towers. theguardian.com/business/2024/…
One scenario is continuation of high interest rates that was in reaction to a global commodity market car crash and the other is ultra low rates in reaction to a global pandemic. Renewables are really not a main concern in either of your scenarios, lads. theguardian.com/business/2024/…
This is going to be wild, and basically aligns to when I think we can call the European energy crisis as over. I mean, it's over in terms of absolute security of supply right now, but it will be over for volatility and pricing aspects as well, then.
This is going to be wild, and basically aligns to when I think we can call the European energy crisis as over. I mean, it's over in terms of absolute security of supply right now, but it will be over for volatility and pricing aspects as well, then. https://t.co/Yd9yqvx3rx
I can't claim to understand some (most) of the chemistry going on here, but what I can grasp is the numbers. Holy moly. When you get a bit down on the energy transition progress, stuff like this is a bit of a pick-me-up.
I can't claim to understand some (most) of the chemistry going on here, but what I can grasp is the numbers. Holy moly. When you get a bit down on the energy transition progress, stuff like this is a bit of a pick-me-up.
Was looking slightly puzzled at oil prices coming off this morning (record demand OPEC+, IEA, Bloomberg et al shout continually) and then this pops up. Perfect explanation, Twitter is still good sometimes.
Was looking slightly puzzled at oil prices coming off this morning (record demand OPEC+, IEA, Bloomberg et al shout continually) and then this pops up. Perfect explanation, Twitter is still good sometimes.
2023: Wow, we've had a pretty bad year* for gas2power 2024: Hold my beer (so far) *to be clear, lower volume doesn't always translate to a worse year commercially for gas plant.
Jan Rosenow @janrosenow
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4K Followers 616 Following Tracking the transition to a decarbonised, digitised and decentralised energy economy. A @SolarMediaLtd publication. Visit https://t.co/Y2qw7SyDnMWith more than 10GW of batteries now online, California’s duck curve is flatlining and gas is being displaced.
In 2024, natural gas generation on an average April day in California hit a 7-year low. This is a significant trend reversal from what we saw from 2021 to 2023 in CAISO.
In 2022, short on electrical grid inertia and long on renewable power, Ireland installed the world's largest flywheel, 130 spinning tons. Why did we do something so preposterous? And are there other, better storage technologies? Let's find out. It's the grid storage thread!
🇷🇺 - Russian gas giant Gazprom has just reported first net loss since 1999 • Gazprom posted US$6.84bn loss in 2023 as sanctions drastically curb sales to Europe • Gazprom's losses will put Russian budget under (even) more pressure amid rising military spending
GB Grid: Last 7 Year's #Wind generation. #WindTrendCharts #GridTrendCharts
Lin: "If exporting 12 percent of Chinese-made EVs is called overcapacity, then what about Germany, Japan and the US who export 80, 50 and 25 percent respectively of their automobiles? Wouldn’t that be considered more serious overcapacity?" fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/xwfw_6…
Very much enjoyed speaking the Lords Science & Technology committee yesterday with @david_joffe, although watching back I moved my hands so much it looks like I was encouraging the Lords to guess which cup the energy system was under. Here's a brief summary of what I said. /1
Interconnectors are seen as key to managing periods of low wind in a renewables-dominated power grid. But I'm sceptical of the contribution that interconnectors make in power markets, and their ability to contribute to security of supply. watt-logic.com/2024/04/28/int…
Andrew knows perfectly well what the answer to this is, because it's been explained to him repeatedly At this point his bleating about low wind periods, which –surprise!– actual grid engineers do know about, just looks like wilful ignorance
Tonight, despite our massive wind capacity, the turbines are generating only 5% of our electricity needs. Gas is providing 46% and nuclear 18%. Of course there are plenty of times when wind provides much more. But on a coldish night like tonight when it’s only 5%, if we had no…
With natural gas prices down 35% and oil prices up 15% in 2024, the ratio of oil prices to natural gas prices has crossed above 50 for just the second time since 1990. The only other time the oil to natural gas ratio has been above 50 was during a 12-day stretch in April 2012.
Ok - I just need to get this out there. I've done a whole load of work on this. It's a page with energy yield estimates for every single wind farm on the Balancing Mechanism. jamestwallin.github.io/BM_analysis/ the code for it is here: it's public github.com/JamesTwallin/B… ...
To be clear: rooftop solar PV is NOT the problem. The problem is BAD RATE DESIGN that does not convey what electricity actually costs—and thus what the value of self-generating with solar or saving energy with efficiency or shifting consumption with smart devices is worth! Fix…
.@BorensteinS estimates that soaring retail rates, poor rate design & rapidly growing rooftop solar adoption in California combine to shift ~$3.8 billion from bills of solar adopters to those without solar, increasing their rates 5.7-7¢/kWh. 😯 energyathaas.wordpress.com/2024/04/22/cal…
On Sunday a new article will drop, explaining why Agile Octopus is too good to be true and how Agile customers are freeloading off the rest of us.
All you ever wanted to know about global #LNG trade flows in Q1. For free from @ICISOfficial #natgas #ONGT #TTF analytics.icis.com/wp-content/upl…
With current low power prices in GB, we’re a system in need of demand. EVs, heat pumps and data centres spring to mind - what am I missing? An excuse to also share this superb podcast from @Ianrey_ian (@OspreyCharging) on all things EV charging - link in comments @ModoEnergy
Utilization of wind power improved to 30% in March, from 29.3% in 2023. Solar utilization dropped to 14.9%, from 15.7%. Hydro improved but remained far below average; nuclear worsened. Thermal dropped to 49.1%, from 50.7%, but remained above average.
Texas natural gas prices (at the Waha hub) are negative -$2.00/mmBTU (~ -6,4€/MWh) Crude oil is very expensive, so Texan producers continue to extract crude oil, but their wells also produce gas that finds no buyers oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-…
I translated this post and sent it to a friend here in China working at a company that builds industrial rooftop solar projects. His reactions were interesting and illuminating as to the relative market state of solar power installations in the USA vs. China here in 2024...
Current state of commercial solar in the US: We installed this solar project for a manufacturer in rural Illinois. Turnkey cost: $610k. After installation, the customer receives a $305k grant from the USDA, a $305k federal tax credit, and a $95k rebate from the utility company…
A report from ACER (the association of European energy regulators) estimates EU demand for LNG will fall ~60 bcm/y by 2027 or ~5.8 billion cubic feet/day. That's roughly HALF of US LNG exports in 2023 for scale. The US has enough new terminals already permitted to up to 3X LNG…
The key findings are that 🔵EU LNG demand peaked in 2023 and 🔵EU is OVERCONTRACTED for LNG from as soon as 2027...
WOW, excellent new research showing how quickly EU🇪🇺 LNG demand will fall... and why there is a global LNG gas glut coming soon... 🧵
📢 Just out: ACER’s first #MarketMonitoring Report (#MMR) on monitoring the #European Liquified Natural #Gas (#LNG) markets 👉 acer.europa.eu/news-and-event… 📅 Want to know more about the report? Join us for our webinar on 30 April 👉 acer.europa.eu/public-events/…