Unreal Value @UnrealValue
Long Term Value for the Common Man unrealvalue.com Kansas City Joined February 2019-
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QE is a bluff (a magic trick). And the bluff has worked beautifully. No one cares about the man in the box (the truth) They care about the guy on the state for the Prestige.
#EugeneFama just accused central banks of offering monetary "pornography", said they "don't do anything real", and averred inflation is "totally" out of their control. Then why are #stocks up?! Fama offers one answer: efficient markets. Snider, another: central bank seduction.
A shortage of #dollars and good #collateral are the biggest issue in the world. Who will replace the dollar? The #SDR? Perhaps. #Gold? Probably not, but it’ll be used as a medium of exchange and safe collateral. #Bitcoin? I love bitcoin, but come on guys 😉
China, owner of the biggest foreign exchange collection in human history, is reporting ‘no change’ in reserves. For months! In the middle of a monetary maelstrom?! That’s no accident, nor does it suggest calm serenity. Precisely the opposite. alhambrapartners.com/2020/08/10/eur…
I try not to miss any conversation with Lacy Hunt. Solid back to back podcasts of Napier and Hunt.
I am sorry, prematurely calling the end of the global reserve currency is foolish. DXY down is not the whole story, and it's not something that will happen anytime soon. Maybe in decades ahead.
“There is no art which one government sooner learns of another than that of draining money from the pockets of the people.” ― Adam Smith
USD getting ripe for a squeeze
The Fed simply gave financial sheep an opportunity to wear their favorite investments proudly. Some are wearing Gold, some are wearing bitcoin, some are wearing Tesla, some are wearing Apple. It is a costume party promoted by the Fed. The Fed is using you to fool the public.
Jay Powell has to sell you on his inflationary myth. The same reason he does is the same reason gold is rising; not that it's real, but the growing sense of DEFLATIONARY error. That's why gold was up mid-2000s, not fears over inflation. alhambrapartners.com/2020/07/10/sig…
🇺🇸 While money supply has increased, money velocity has COLLAPSED. Deflation risks are much more imminent than hyperinflation risks --> ndea.mk/DeflationvsHyp…
Looking to add to some long puts on some names in auto, hospitality, entertainment. Trying to find some of the ones that have retraced the most since March lows. Any ideas? So far am thinking $PENN $CZR $SAH
The Fed has conned 99.9% of investors into believing it is anything but impotent
If you don’t get laughed at or ridiculed for your asymmetric trades, then your trades are not symmetric to begin with.
I don't know who needs to hear this but it is still crippling DE-flation that we are headed towards

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