WDM Gerrymandering Analysis @WDMelections

Weighted Districts Method. Visualize entire redistricting plans via WDM and BV plots. article here https://t.co/sYbVpuLKxw be nice 😎😎😎 Joined September 2021

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WDM Gerrymandering Analysis @WDMelections

3 weeks ago

As promised, the "Missouri First" congressional redistricting map is a severe R gerrymander with the single D-packed district making it easier for all R districts to be well into the safe seat area.

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WDM Gerrymandering Analysis @WDMelections

4 weeks ago

The D-created OH redistricting map is fair with a high number of competitive districts (for our fptp system), has equal numbers of packed districts and safe seats, but will it be enacted by the R-dominated legislature?

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WDM Gerrymandering Analysis @WDMelections

2 months ago

The AL congressional map was redrawn in 2023 to satisfy VRA requirements. Being a heavy-R state, this necessitated packing R districts in order to bring two D districts safely to the left side of 50%. The result is measured as a D partisan gerrymander.

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WDM Gerrymandering Analysis @WDMelections

2 months ago

Next on the gerrymandering train... Missouri? With their congressional districts somewhat evenly spaced, mathematically it would be a simple task to move a few R districts to v~57% and pull dist#5 to the other side of 50%, making it an R seat and MO an extreme gerrymander of W>10

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WDM Gerrymandering Analysis @WDMelections

2 months ago

There is something to this. Of course merging clusters often shows a regression to the mean, which is the same as 'moving to the center.'

Naval @naval

2 months ago

There is something to this. Of course merging clusters often shows a regression to the mean, which is the same as 'moving to the center.'

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WDM Gerrymandering Analysis @WDMelections

3 months ago

With Texas being in the news, the TX 2022 cong dot plot shows a traditional gerrymander in favor of Reps, created by pulling districts out of the competitive area to establish safe Rep seats and packed Dem seats. District vote shares from @davesredist.

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WDM Gerrymandering Analysis @WDMelections

3 months ago

Like Schrodinger's cat... once betting markets know they are being watched, will they produce the same results? Pollsters producing outlier results are often accused of leaning left or right. Will this be the case for Betting markets? preprint: arxiv.org/pdf/2507.08921