We apply biblical wisdom & technical expertise to help clients make wise financial decisions. View our social media guidelines & legal info 👇🏼linktr.ee/bluetrustJoined July 2023
You can easily make the case that the top 5 stocks in emerging markets (TSMC, Tencent, Alibaba, Samsung & Hynix)--which make up 22% of EM index funds--are all tech stocks, even AI stocks.
Yet, only 25% of all EM is officially classified as tech.
Ugly employment data from ADP this morning.
Sep job growth was -32k & Aug was revised down to -3k (first consecutive negative months since 2020)
Recently, ADP's closely tracked BLS payroll data (scheduled for Friday), which will likely be delayed due to the gov't shutdown.
Home prices fell again in July, for the fifth consecutive month, but only by -0.1%.
It appears prices may be stabilizing after the cumulative 1.1% decline since Feb.
Home prices fell again in July, for the fifth consecutive month, but only by -0.1%.
It appears prices may be stabilizing after the cumulative 1.1% decline since Feb. https://t.co/RWdNlKh3oP
Friday brought more good news on the consumer, as real spending growth in July was revised up and Aug came in high & above expectations.
The Fed's nowcast for Q3 GDP growth is now 3.9%.
Friday brought more good news on the consumer, as real spending growth in July was revised up and Aug came in high & above expectations.
The Fed's nowcast for Q3 GDP growth is now 3.9%. https://t.co/XOd6MZrZGD
On Thursday, Q2 GDP growth was revised up from 3.3% to 3.8%, due to a big boost in consumer spending.
The 1H economic slowdown now seems much more mild.
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This week, Blue Trust is partnering with Groundwire to reach teens and young adults with the hope of Jesus right where they are: on their social feeds. 🙌
Learn more about this powerful ministry at groundwire.net#BlueTrust#Groundwire#FaithDriven#NextGeneration
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The Fed lowered rates 0.25% today. Powell's key (paraphrased) remarks are below:
"We expect tariff-driven goods inflation to build the rest of this year & into next year."
"The tariff passthrough to consumer prices has so far been slower and smaller than expected."
"This rate…
Aug retail sales growth came in strong (even after accounting for higher inflation) & better than expected.
Consumer spending in Q3 appears to be resilient in the face of tariff-based price hikes & a softening labor market.
The Baker & Emily Mayfield Foundation Celebrity Shootout Presented by @_BlueTrust was one for the books!
Tampa Bay athletes showed out, Cuba Gooding Jr. brought the Hollywood flair, and @Buccaneers rookie Emeka Ebuka swung his way all the way to the FINALS! 👏🏌️
Big drives,…
Retirement is often seen as the finish line. But what if it’s really a beginning? The Bible doesn’t speak to retirement directly, but it does call us to bear fruit at every stage of life. What is God calling you toward in retirement?
Read more @ bluetrust.com/blogs/what-is-…
Today's headlines: "In August, employment increased by only 22k."
Except we're very uncertain about that number. It's better to think about job creation in terms of a range...
"August's change in nonfarm payrolls was likely between -114k and +158k."
Employment may have declined over the last 3 months (first box below).
Regardless, the lack of breadth in job creation is concerning. For 5 consecutive months, <50% of industries have created jobs.
The only major industry that we can be confident added jobs over the last 3…
Our founder, Ron Blue, had the special privilege to join Pastor @louiegiglio at @passioncityatlanta to share his journey of faith and finances.
If you've never heard the incredible story of our humble beginnings, make sure to watch the full conversation!
youtube.com/watch?v=BxD2WS…
Stocks, bonds, gold, and bitcoin are surging--and the dollar is falling--in reaction to Powell's speech this morning.
He suggested that the risk to employment has grown, so modestly restrictive monetary policy is likely less appropriate now.
The probability of a rate cut in Sep…
It's early, but a good start for Q3 consumer spending.
We'll be watching to see if tariff-based price hikes & a softening labor market weigh on spending in the months ahead.
Friday's retail sales report revealed a surprisingly resilient consumer.
3-month sales growth (orange line) is the highest it's been in a year. However, with goods inflation accelerating, growth is likely less impressive on a real basis.
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