"Free people make free choices. Free choices mean you get unequal outcomes.
You can have freedom, or you can have equal outcomes. You can’t have both."
@naval
No one remembers the doctor or nurse who delivered history’s greatest minds. You can be a genius, but the people who helped bring you into the world didn’t need to be—they just needed to get the job done.
The same goes for crypto.
The people at the helm of any crypto org…
This used to be the frontier—raw, untamed, electric with possibility. A wild digital bazaar where the air crackled with the promise of real financial alchemy, where mad geniuses hammered out code that could rewire the future of money itself.
We weren’t just stacking tokens—we…
"The measure of wealth is freedom.
The measure of health is lightness.
The measure of intellect is judgment.
The measure of wisdom is silence.
The measure of love is peace."
@naval
Doing a correlation analysis with the help of Claude 3.7.
Global M2 to price of bitcoin. Today is the bottom.
Uploaded data sets of M2 Money Supply and BTC. An hr of guidance, got the results.
The optimal lag period is 57 days with a correlation coefficient of 0.824. The…
you can't manage your money and your losses and you blame others!
before you do this job, learn risk management and then come back here
I hope I was clear
Crypto trading is a probabilistic outcomes business.
And to my knowledge, seeing the future is currently impossible. Traders must instead predict the future by first seeing every possible future.
Probabilistic thinking is basically just trying to estimate the likelihood of a…
If you'd be interested in buying the most painful Dip, it'll happen between the square box described Below.
It's between the low of the previous dump as volume would like to retest and distribute and the monthly resistance from Nov/October 2024.
1/ Took some time off from the markets, and it’s clear: risk is still high, and patience will be key. Here’s my long-term outlook on indices, crypto, and liquidity.
2/ The Fed isn’t stepping in to save markets—no “Fed put” this time. Big players already know. Buffett is holding…
I’ve mentioned this a few times but I’ll say it again for those in the back.
The biggest alpha I’ve found to get rich in crypto is:
1. Don’t use leverage
2. Don’t trade hard mode/chop
All you have to do is literally sit around and wait until you trip and fall into money…
385 Followers 5K FollowingSemi-retired Crypto trader #Bitcoin Sharing knowledge for a hobby. Join my new Substack for FREE: https://t.co/RyjBAheF3y @bloodgoodxbt?...
267 Followers 2K FollowingCrypto Trader, My tweets are not financial advice #DYOR DM for collabs! Founders, collaboration and community managers please DM me if you are interested 🤝🤘
365 Followers 4K FollowingWorking on something that excites me like 2010 Bitcoin. Now raising. Owner of 20mission. Founded the first US #bitcoin exchange, investor and former Marine
60K Followers 14K FollowingDr Jennifer Wilson is my name. 🎶Who are you that I should have to lie?🎶 Repost what interests me, not just what I agree with.
17K Followers 833 FollowingWorking on something that excites me like 2010 Bitcoin. Now raising.
Owner of 20mission. Founded the first US #bitcoin exchange, investor and former Marine
29K Followers 2K FollowingAnalyst, Researcher and Educator | Top Pieces of Research and Opinions in Highlights | https://t.co/kNbyy5Sy3c | https://t.co/YZopjJSn6Q