_THE SHORT BEAR @_TTheShortBear

Contrarian stoic trader and long term investor | 2013 | drive: Philosophy & Psychology | Tweets are purely for entertainment purposes and not investment advice linktr.ee/theshortbear Joined May 2012

Tweets

121
Followers

32
Following

549
Likes

19

THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear

3 months ago

Panic buying back over highs or getting the last players involved? Mixed signals and data across the board.

47 39 141 21K 17

Download Image

If a TACO 🌮 makes me lose a portion of my year… I would have seen it all. Jokes aside, what a dumb question, exactly what you’d want to ask to make sure Trump pushes toward tariffs. Ironically, by reacting to the TACO, he would only prove how easy it is for media and alike…

73 2 113 24K 12

THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear

3 months ago

Important! We could see Powell tell the president that the acceptance of the court ruling could make way for rate cuts. The combination of rate cuts and the potential for the administration to focus on the tax bill could be enough for Trump to pivot. Change course, blame it…

*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone

3 months ago

65 178 2K 354K 44

44 16 171 43K 23

THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear

3 months ago

Keep in mind the recent bond underperformance vs stocks is forcing drastic selling in stocks and buying in bonds for institutional players. Estimated at ~$20b+ flows. Today’s tariff news just was a welcomed surprise creating liquidity.

38 16 124 21K 22

THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear

3 months ago

My number was off. -$42b in equities +$16b in treasuries +$22b in corporate bonds ..

Neil Sethi @neilksethi

3 months ago

My number was off. -$42b in equities +$16b in treasuries +$22b in corporate bonds ..

4 6 26 27K 9

Download Image

10 2 32 21K 2

THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear

3 months ago

Impact on Tariffs by Bloomberg

43 9 87 21K 24

Download Image

THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear

3 months ago

I could just have tweeted I’m on vacation. News hit when I was in the plane. Never ever missed. 15/15 trips.

23 2 159 33K 4

THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear

3 months ago

There is a world where this Supreme Court ruling is part of an administrations plan to backtrack. We are 2/3 done with the 90days pause and we are yet to see a true big debt deal. Not fighting the Supreme Court and accepting the ruling could allow for the US admin to move on…

40 14 193 28K 33

THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear

5 months ago

CTAs are expected to be buyers across all market conditions over the next month. -Goldman Sachs

39 23 155 29K 37

Download Image

THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear

5 months ago

This is more about the message than it becoming reality tomorrow. The world is sending a message, we are ready to start cutting you out if that is what you want. Deals are being done with the east, alliances are being forged…

unusual_whales @unusual_whales

5 months ago

2K 820 8K 1.2M 508

37 12 111 25K 5

THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear

5 months ago

How much cash are you holding?

28 3 27 18K 7

THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear

5 months ago

AI bubble starting to fall apart as uncertainty and tariff related issues persist. AWS is slowing some data center lease activity while hyperscalers are more selective about leasing high-power sites. They’re shortening advance commitment timelines with a focus being put on…

9 12 80 15K 19

Download Image

THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear

5 months ago

To me this started with the DeepSeek moment, where the balance between capex and price premium for advanced models destabilized. A lot of the capex we thought was needed disappeared and price discovery moved sharply lower. $MSFT showed the first cracks, now $AMZN. The…

7 3 50 9K 6

THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear

5 months ago

30 34 441 35K 15

Download Image

THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear

5 months ago

Hedge funds dumped over 60% of their Mag 7 exposure last week. Only 24% of investors now see Mag 7 as the most crowded trade, down from nearly 60%. Gold is now the top trade for 49% of respondents. -BofA & Goldman Sachs

14 20 223 21K 21

THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear

5 months ago

Did not overstay, idea was to go short in the morning on the initial tape and structural weakness. Waited from there as we saw no panic, simply steady selling. Got interested in the long side once we reached about -3.5% as we approached a 'put' level that could have led to news…

35 9 159 25K 38

Download Image

THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear

5 months ago

You'll see me position myself for headlines as stated earlier today on an intraday basis. I want to be large positive tails risk rather than try and bet on continuous strength when it shows up. Bear markets are known for strong countertrend moves, not strength following…

10 4 90 12K 14

THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear

5 months ago

Powell vs Trump If the inflation comes in higher through tariffs: Powell cut too early If the inflation comes in lower: Tariffs are working If the inflation comes in lower and a recession: Policies working but Powell was late If the inflation comes in hot and a…

29 17 113 17K 24

THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear

5 months ago

Today had one of the worst selling types you want to see. Pure TWAP and VWAP orders by major players. No panic, no bounces, just pure algorithmic selling for anyone that wants to be a counterpart. If we can move lower by -3.5% without panic I'll let you think about what…

38 60 534 59K 119

THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear

5 months ago

$NVO Novo says it’s submitted obesity pill for FDA approval It has a large pipeline and history of execution. This comes on top of the existing portfolio which is patented until at least 2032.