Charlie Bilello @_charliebileIlo
Chief Market Strategist @ Creative Planning Investor | Writer | Reader | Thinker Trying to become a little wiser every day. Connect with me for insider info. creativeplanning.com/charlie Joined March 2012-
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Only 24% of all US home sales in 2024 went to first-time home buyers, the lowest share in history. Video: youtube.com/watch?v=mABvGk…
Home Price Appreciation in the US has flatlined as affordability remains near record lows, inventory levels continue to build, and Sellers outnumber Buyers. A shift is brewing in the US housing market. Video: youtube.com/watch?v=h98CbZ…
Everyone wants to know where the S&P 500 will be a year from now. Here’s the truth: nobody knows. History shows 12-month returns are pure randomness. Successful investing means aligning portfolios with long-term goals, not chasing forecasts.
The Dow has hit 348 all-time highs since the start of 2013 w/ at least one all-time high in 13 straight years. That surpasses the 324 all-time highs reached during the epic run from 1989-2000 when the Dow hit at least 1 ATH in 12 straight years. Video: youtube.com/watch?v=h98CbZ…
New video is up: 📈The Week in Charts - breaking down the most important charts and themes in markets... youtube.com/watch?v=h98CbZ…
"Put these charts on your wall" — @charliebilello returns with his annual collection of must-see charts that help investors stay rational when markets get emotional. youtu.be/9T34giKk7xU
The median age of first-time home buyers in the US moved up to 38 in 2024, the oldest on record. The housing affordability crisis is delaying the American Dream for an entire generation. Video: youtube.com/watch?v=mABvGk…
On the morning of April 7, the $VIX crossed above 60. It ended last week at 14, down over 76% from the April peak. That was the lowest close of the year. Video: youtube.com/watch?v=h98CbZ…
The 1st half of the 2020s, with annualized home price appreciation of 4.6% above inflation, is unlikely to repeated in the back half. There's no rational justification for prices to continue to outpace inflation by such a wide margin. Video: youtube.com/watch?v=mABvGk…
The bond market is now fully pricing in 2 rate cuts by year-end and 3 more cuts in 2026. That would bring the Fed Funds Rate down to 3.00% (lower bound). Video: youtube.com/watch?v=h98CbZ…
The 69% decline in the $VIX over the last 20 weeks is the biggest volatility crash in history. Video: youtube.com/watch?v=h98CbZ…
"Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it; he who doesn't, pays it." - Albert Einstein
Price to Earnings Ratio (TTM) Palantir: 487 Tesla: 197 NVIDIA: 57 Netflix: 51 Microsoft: 37 Amazon: 35 Apple: 35 S&P: 29 Meta: 27 Google: 22 Price to Sales Ratio (TTM) Palantir: 117 NVIDIA: 30 Microsoft: 13 Tesla: 13 Netflix: 13 Meta: 11 Apple: 8 Google: 7 Amazon: 3.7 S&P: 3.2
Every week I break down the most important charts and themes in markets and investing. Subscribe to our YouTube channel HERE for the latest content: youtube.com/channel/UCRoWR…
How to End the Housing Affordability Crisis: -Control money printing -Stop Fed interest rate manipulation + MBS buying -Wind down Fannie/Freddie -Release federal/state-owned land -Incentivize building -Tax corporate investors & foreign buyers youtube.com/watch?v=mABvGk…
In 1980, 6 out of the 10 largest companies in the US were Oil/Energy stocks. Today, that number is 0 and the 7 largest companies are all Tech. Video: youtube.com/watch?v=9T34gi…
🚨 Housing Affordability Crisis 🚨 To afford the median-priced home in the US today, you need an income of $124,000. The actual median household income? $79,000. That’s a 57% gap — the largest on record. Video: youtube.com/watch?v=mABvGk…
The Fed's balance sheet has shrunk 22% over the past 32 months while the S&P 500 has advanced 73%, dispelling the myth that the stock market is dependent on QE to rise. $SPX Video: youtube.com/watch?v=9T34gi…
🚨Housing affordability just hit a new all-time low. The median American household now needs to spend 48% of their income to buy the median-priced home — worse than the peak of the 2006 bubble. Video Discussion: youtube.com/watch?v=mABvGk…
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