Anupam Kashyapi Never B Upset @anupamkashyapi
Head,Retd.(Scientist G) ,Weather Forecasting Div.,IMD,Pune,Maharashtra.Tweeting in personal capacity. Motivation-Challenges in Weather Forecasting. Joined March 2023-
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HW,Hot,Humid Wx & TS,Ln+Rain:Update before Imp Election:HW,today over Ngp,Wardha,Akola,Chandrapur & 7th onwards isol hot,humid Wx over State till 10.Afternoon TS,Ln,light Rain(Yellow Alert)will give temporary relief in Many dists of Vidarbha(6-10),Nanded, Latur(6,7).Cast ur Vote.
TS,Ln,Rn likely over country:No. of CyCirs active over NW-Raj,SHWB,Marthwda(M),NE-Assam& a low pressure line from Meghalya to M;All bringing moisture from AS &BOB. So,isol/sct rain likely rise from 6/7th over NE,Cent, Peninsular India,even in Vid,M(6-11),MM,Konkan(8-10/11).Watch.
Due moisture incursion through trough from Meghalya to cycir in Marthwada across cycir over SHWB &adjacent areas,slowly rain chance(+TS,Ln) likely from NE/E/Peninsular States even to central India from 6th evening onwards.Though, HW continued over Eastern/Southern,even NW States.
HW &chance of TS+Ln+Rain over Maharashtra:Rise in Tmax for next 48 hrs,then gradual fall likely .No change in Tmin over State.HW likely on 4,5 over Solapur,Latur,Dharasiv & Bid. Hot,humid wx likely over some areas of State(even PUNE)in next 48hrs.Rain likely over Vidarbha from 7.
Again Tmax likely to increase on 4,5 May over Maharashtra.HW likely over Sindhudurg(3rd),Raigad,Ratnagiri,Sindhdurg on 4;Solapur,Sangi,Latur,Osmanabad,Nanded on 4,5;Nanded on 6; Chandrapur,Akola on 4,5th May. Hot,humid condition likely over isol areas of State(& Pune) during 3-6.
HW/severe HW very likely in many places over GWB;some parts of Jhrkhand;isol parts of Odisha,Bihar, Raylasema;HW in isol pockets over SHWB,Konkan,Madhya Maharashtra(including Pune,Ahmedngar,Sangli,Solapur),Gujarat,Coastal AP, Telangana,Int Karnatka,TN,Kerala.Take precautions.
Silver lining from HW to likely (<50% probability)RAIN chance+TS,Ln: Due to wind interaction,rain likely from 6-10May at isol areas of States viz.GWB,Odisha,Jharkhand,Bihar,UP,MP,Chttisgarh,CAP,Telengna,Karnatka&even over Maharashtra(including PUNE,7-10May).Partial relief likely.
Heat Wave Yellow Alert Tomorrow:Over Thane, Raigad,PUNE,Ahmednagar,Solapur,Aurangabad,Jalna&Nanded.Avoid moving out bet 10.30-16.30hr. Hot,humid condition likely over MUMBAI,Ratnagiri, Sindhdurg,Akola,Amravati,Wardha,Chndrapur. Next 48hrs marginal change in Tmax then fall likely.
Flow of hot,humid air will continue for next 48hrs,then a marginal fall likely. Hot,Humid conditions very likely occur in isol pockets of State(except Vidarbha)viz dists of Thane,Mumbai,Raigad on 30 April ;Thane,Raigad on 03 May.Warm night likely next 24 hrs over State.B safe.
Why rise in Temp in State? Hot air coming from Gujrat over Konkan,N-central Madhya Maharashtra+Less rain in State(except Vidarbha),so dry soil,heated more+Impact of mod El Nino+through/wind discontinuity over State-Combined impact is rise in Tmax &likely rise in coming 3-4 days.
Today,TS/Ln,light rain& strong wind very likely at isol places in Vidarbha&Bid,Latur,Dharashiv;likely over S-central Madhya Maharashtra-MM,rest of Marathwada-M.Tomorrow likely chance of TS,light rain over S-(MM & M).Likely(<50%) chance of TS,light rain over Pune in current 48hrs.
Temp rising,as indicated by percentile charts from 28 April-1st May.HW very likely in isol pockets of Thane, Raigad,Palghar, Mumbai on 28-29&Ratnagiri,Sindhudurg on 28. Hot,humid conditions,warm night will continue till early May.Pune Tmax also rising >40-41°C.Take care.
Rise in Tmax,likely over Maharashtra in next 3days.HW likely in isol areas of Raigarh,Thane on 27-29April; Palghar,Mumbai on 28-29 & Sindhudurg,Ratnagiri on 28. Hot,humid wx likely in isol areas of State(Vidarbha also).TS,Ln,strong wind+rain likely at isol areas of State.B safe.
TS,Ln+very light/light spells of rain+strong wind likely to occur at isol places in dists of Sangli,PUNE,Satara,Ahmednagar,Aurngabad,Kolhapur,Amravati,Buldhna,Akola,Washim,Yavtmal,Wardha,Ngp in next 1-2 hours.Take precaution.Avoid standing in open/under tree during lightning.
Gradual rise in Tmax,2-4°C, likely over State in next 4-5days.HW likely in isol areas of Raigarh,Thane on 27-29April,Mumbai on 28-29& Palghar on 28.HW likely in isol areas of Sindhudurg,Ratnagiri on 28. Hot,humid wx likely in isol areas of State including Konkan on 27-29.B safe
A/N HW(yellow Alert) over Thane,Raigad(27,28); Hot,humid in Konkan(25-28),Akola, Amravati,Ngp,Wasim,Wardha(25).Evening Ts,Ln,strong wind+Rain in Chandrapur,Gadchroli,Wardha,Yvatmal(25-27),Wasim(25)& Jalgaon,PUNE, Ahmednagar(25-26); Aurangabad,Jalna,Bid(25-26),Dharasiv(27).B safe.
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Weather update for 28th September 2023
Pune city in & around under thick cloud cover.Dark reddish color indicates intense spell of rain.Roads may b sleepery, visibility may reduce,water logging may occur in low lying areas,approach road where Visarjan will takes place may b muddy ,sleepery,b watchful,take utmost care.
Maharashtra state and Pune city weather/alert update for next 48 hours.
Monsoon update for Maharashtra State for 1st June to 30th September 2023.
Current satellite image (RAPID)shows cloud cover over our State including Pune district/city.Check Orange alert today for districts of Konkan & Madhya Maharashtra.Last 9 hrs RF justifying orange alert. The system(well marked low) is weakening fast. So,RF will reduce after 36 hrs.
Weather report for 28th September 2023.
Slog over of Monsoon rain started.Only 9 days to go for official end of Monsoon'23, though monsoon will continue even in Oct. Chandrapur,Panjim, Amrawati,Alibaug,Matheran r raining well.State has so far received Normal rain(-9% of N),though 13 dists r deficient. Watch last lap.
@anupamkashyapi Another legend says that the rain was caused by the tears of joy shed by the Gods when they saw Krishna's beautiful form. Some people believe that it is his way of washing away the sins of his devotees and giving them a fresh start. Whatever it's Accurate forecast
Partial revival of Monsoon likely from 3rd/4th Sept onward: Slowly some R/F activity will increase over State for 3-4 days,especially over Vidarbha,Konkan& SE-Marathwada.Yellow alert for thunder/lightning,isolated heavy rain likely from 2nd/3rd onward .Farmers & all users b ready
A LOW is likely to form,today over NW-Bay of Bengal,will initiate Partial Revival of Monsoon over Maharashtra.Slowly R/F activity will increase,especially over Vidarbha,Marathwada & Konkan.Yellow alert is coming back due to chance of thunder& Isolated Heavy rain from 18 -20 Aug.
पुणे आणि आसपासच्या हवामानाचा अंदाज : Due to strengthening of Westerly winds from Arabian sea for current 72 hours,moisture is coming in Pune district/city. आकाश सामान्यत: ढगाळ राहण्याची शक्यता. हलक्या स्वरूपाचा पाऊस पडण्याची शक्यता .
It's now time for farming in Maharashtra.Slowly,reduction in R/F activity in next couple of days.From today NIL red or orange alert though yellow alert for isolated areas will continue for districts of Konkan,Vidarbha&ghats of Madhya Maharashtra.Enjoy Peeping sunlight,greenaries
Increased rain intensity(cm) in last 12hrs.Santacruz :12,Colaba:9,Thane:7, Alibaug:7,Wardha:6,Yeotmal:6,Chandrapur:5.Red/Orange alert issued for Konkan/Mumbai,Vidarbha,ghats of Pune ,Satara.Roads,railway tracks may be inundated,flash flood/landslide may occur. B safe.
Monsoon rainfall for country is 2% of normal.Maharashtra rainfall is recovering, slowly.Konkan-Goa received normal rain till today, but,other 3 sub-divisions are deficient.Next active monsoon spell for our State is expected from 13-16July ,when further recovery is likely
Rainfall activity very likely to increase over Maharashtra, gradually,during next 5 days.Orange alert issued for isolated very heavy to extreme heavy rain over Konkan & ghats of Madhya Maharashtra & yellow alert for isolated heavy to very heavy rain over rest of State
No impact of Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) Biparjoy over Maharashtra State. Light to moderate rain with moderately strong wind are only expected over northern districts of Konkan on 13th & 14th June. Dark Cloudy Sky will be cleared from 14th afternoon.
SW (Southwest) Monsoon 2023 has advanced into some parts of Southeast Bay of Bengal, Nicobar Islands and South Andaman Sea today, the 19th May, 2023. The NLM ( Northern Limit of SW Monsoon) passes through 5°N/85°E, 6.5°N/90°E, Nancowry & 10°N/98°E.
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