Authoritarian Warning Survey @authwarning
Democracy scholars evaluating threats to American democracy in real time, with daily-updated expert survey. protectdemocracy.org/threat-index/ George Washington University Joined May 2017-
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According to our Authoritarian Threat Index, the 2022 midterm elections altered the threats to democracy in the United States but did not eliminate them. @ianbassin and @braderstorf break down exactly how. @authwarning protectdemocracy.org/work/threat-in…
As always, what's most damning is what Trump says he's going to do publicly, not what he does in private. Media: Trump tried to overturn the election. He just said it. Again. And he'll try to do the same if he loses in '24.
Longtime followers may be familiar with our Democracy Threat Index, run in partnership with @authwarning. After the events of January 6th, the Index reached an all-time high. Read more: protectdemocracy.org/update/the-dem…
Happy to announce my book, Shock to the System: Coups, Elections, and War on the Road to Democratization, is officially published today. For all ages! amazon.com/gp/aw/d/B08XN5…
After 8 years, it's finally done. I'm thrilled to announce my book, Shock to the System: Coups, Elections, and War on the Road to Democratization, is coming out at @PrincetonUPress. I promise it will make you think about democratization in a new way. /1 press.princeton.edu/books/paperbac…
"Trump’s call with Georgia’s secretary of state is a subversion of democracy" vox.com/2021/1/3/22211…
I feel like the presidents recently pardoned former national security advisor calling for a military coup and martial law to overturn an election should be bigger news.
I've seen enough. This is a genuine coup attempt now. We should absolutely use that language and it should appear in coup datasets, etc. We're much closer to a full democratic breakdown than a lot of people realize. /1 nytimes.com/live/2020/11/1…
I’ve been a fairly regular contributor to the @authwarning survey these past few years and have consistently been pretty sceptical about the prospect of an authoritarian breakdown in the US, but this month has *clearly* moved the needle in the wrong direction.
Forget Russia’s interference in '16. Or Trump’s impeachment for asking Ukraine to dig up dirt on Biden. Arguably the biggest political scandal we’ve ever seen in this country is unfolding right before our eyes -- even if it's failed to gain traction nbcnews.com/politics/meet-…
As people celebrate the election results, don't sleep on the Trump camp's fraud claims. Although meritless & unlikely to succeed, they'll breed years of illegitimacy & conspiracies on the right. Need a thorough debunking and acceptance by as many GOP leaders as possible.
80+ historians of fascism and authoritarianism released an open letter today warning that democracy “is either withering or in full-scale collapse globally”, and urging ordinary people to take action. theguardian.com/world/2020/nov…
In NC, police are pepper-spraying voters. In TX, Republicans want to throw out ballots in Democratic cities. In PA, the president is saying the courts might disenfranchise enough voters for him to win. I'm not sure what kind of regime this is, but it's not a healthy democracy.
Our Democracy Threat Index, updated frequently with our friends at @authwarning, reports “Substantial Erosion” of our democracy. Find more here: protectdemocracy.org/threat-index
Textbook authoritarian tactic: encourage your supporters to whip up civil unrest and then exploit it for political purposes. Textbook.
Ruth Ben-Ghiat @ruthbenghiat
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3K Followers 4K Following Politics lecturer in Glasgow. Opposition & local politics in autocracies, mostly 🇹🇿 Dundonian. She/herAccording to our Authoritarian Threat Index, the 2022 midterm elections altered the threats to democracy in the United States but did not eliminate them. @ianbassin and @braderstorf break down exactly how. @authwarning protectdemocracy.org/work/threat-in…
Longtime followers may be familiar with our Democracy Threat Index, run in partnership with @authwarning. After the events of January 6th, the Index reached an all-time high. Read more: protectdemocracy.org/update/the-dem…
Happy to announce my book, Shock to the System: Coups, Elections, and War on the Road to Democratization, is officially published today. For all ages! amazon.com/gp/aw/d/B08XN5…
Just found this gem hiding like a black widow in my childhood stuff. Published 1989 by the Boy Scouts of America.
We are sleeping walking into democratic erosion. Outrage fatigue in the face of ongoing GOP assault against voting rights means this news is just a bullet point @JohnCassidy @BrendanNyhan @hakeemjefferson @authwarning @BrightLineWatch
@mkmdem @PrincetonUPress Big congrats on finishing, very much looking forward to reading it!
@mkmdem @PrincetonUPress Congratulations!!! Glad to see this finally coming out and I look forward to reading 🤓
Power is the key logic. Autocrats & allies fiercely resist giving up too much power. To get acceptance of demz, they either need to feel highly insecure in autocracy (requiring violent disruption) or confident about competing in democracy (requiring a ruling party). /5
Paradoxically, democratization is intimately connected to the most undemocratic of events: major elite violence & autocrats scrabbling back to power. So what is going on here? /4
Or (2) An established autocratic ruling party allows democratization through elections and then regains power in democracy. These two patterns account for more than 9 in 10 transitions since 1800! /3
The basics: Nearly all cases of demz fall into one of two patterns: (1) Demz follows a violent elite shock (e.g., a successful coup, civil war, defeat in foreign war) that disrupts the autocratic regime & produces a chaotic opening for opposition mobilization /2
The book has a mix of qualitative & quantitative analysis, including a proposal for a new way to link predictors to democratization. It also offers a clear recommendation for how we can better promote democracy abroad (& it does NOT involve sponsoring coups). /7
Either context limits the sacrifice of power from democratization, smoothing along the transition. The theory also explains a number of puzzles, such as why some protest movements fail & others succeed, & why econ development weakly predicts demz. /6
After 8 years, it's finally done. I'm thrilled to announce my book, Shock to the System: Coups, Elections, and War on the Road to Democratization, is coming out at @PrincetonUPress. I promise it will make you think about democratization in a new way. /1 press.princeton.edu/books/paperbac…
Very excited to see what everyone thinks. Thanks to a ton of people for helping along the way: @boixserra @SlaterPolitics @MilanSvolik @SevaUT @BeattyRiedl @dszakonyi Adam Glynn @bitmeehan @GWtweets & many others /end
The power of words: per metrics via @protctdemocracy & @authwarning, rhetoric remains the highest threat to and priority work area for American Democracy. 👀👇 •Media 57 • Executive Constraints 63 • Elections 61 • Civil Violence 45 • Civil Liberties 48 • Rhetoric 64
Our Democracy Threat Index, created with @authwarning, has an updated threat score indicating “substantial erosion” of our democracy. protectdemocracy.org/threat-index/
Our Democracy Threat Index, created with @authwarning, has an updated threat score indicating “substantial erosion” of our democracy. protectdemocracy.org/threat-index/
For Black homeowners, a common conundrum with appraisals - The Washington Post washingtonpost.com/realestate/for…
"Trump’s call with Georgia’s secretary of state is a subversion of democracy" vox.com/2021/1/3/22211…
📚🚨 NEW BOOK ALERT 🚨📚 I'm delighted that my book with Johannes Lindvall has just been published. Its title is "Inward Conquest: The Political Origins of Modern Public Services". Over the next weeks I'll set out why you should buy it! Let's begin... 1/n cambridge.org/gb/academic/su…