#Invest97A is the last tropical low in the North Indian Ocean for 2023 situated in the Arabian Sea. Bay of Bengal could likely be active again in April/May/June. As we advance, stronger cyclones and much more frequent cyclones could be the norm due to rising sea temperatures!
Last tropical low of 2023 (#Invest97A) seen in the Arabian sea. Low chance of cyclogenesis as it needs support from MJO and favourable conditions. Today was the last day of NEM and any rains after this won't be counted as a part of #NEM2023.
#NewYearsEve#HappyNewYear
After the NTN floods at the beginning of the month and the STN floods now, NEM in TN is now more or less normal despite several interior districts having a huge deficit!
#ChennaiRains#TamilNaduRains#NEM2023
Disastrous rains in #Kayalpattinam (#Thoothukudi district) have resulted in the registering of a deadly 932mm in 24 hours. As the circulation moves west, the extreme rains have started to ease out. This rain amount makes the rain from #CycloneMichaung look like a joke! #NEM2023
Monstrous clouds continue to engulf the southernmost places of STN. This is a very dangerous situation... people need to be cautious and monitor the downpour! People in low-lying areas should evacuate if necessary! Please stay safe everyone!
#TamilNaduRains#NEM2023#FloodAlert
ECMWF has changed its forecast to dump a massive 700+mm in the next 3 days. Let's hope this doesn't come true 🤞
#TamilNaduRains#NEM2023 https://t.co/FGYpHU4D40
Very heavy/extreme rains happening over southern-most parts of South TN under the influence of the cyclonic circulation adjacent to it! Next 48 hours 250mm+ rains possible in many places in STN!
#TamilNaduRains#NEM2023
Moderate showers in South Chennai! One more moderate spell approaching. Rains are welcomed after a week-and-a-half’s break…just after Chennai has mostly recovered from #CycloneMichaung#ChennaiRains#NEM2023
Due to the circulation adjacent to the Sri Lanka latitude, there will be a fresh easterly wave bringing very good rains to Coastal STN and Delta districts from around 15th Dec. Chennai could catch some isolated heavy spells around this time!
#ChennaiRains#NEM2023
ECENS Ensemble indicating quite a lot of activity in the second half of the month. MJO is currently in Phase 6 which causes suppression over Indian Ocean. MJO in Phase 2/3 is beneficial for systems to move towards the NTN/SAP coasts. Waiting game starts!
#ChennaiRains#NEM2023
Chennai radar will be rather quiet for the next week as dry winds are occupying Chennai. A possible low-pressure formation could lead to the starting of rains around 18/19 Dec. Looks like NEM isn't done just yet.
#ChennaiRains#NEM2023
Chembarambakkam Lake level % trend:
Good decision to reduce the water level to 76% just before the day of cyclone, which had became 95% two day after cyclone. @TiruvallurCollr@prabhusean7#CycloneMichaung
Nov 30 - 89%
Dec 3 - 76% (Day before Cyclone)
Dec 6 - 95%
GFS predicting a cyclonic circulation in the Bay of Bengal around Christmas (Dec 25). After mid-Dec, usually the conditions are very tricky for a cyclone to form. This could or could not happen and definitely is very long-range. So we need to wait!
#ChennaiRains#NEM2023
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