Ella Papanek @chexmatrix

Chess, stats, crypto, football, art + elaborate pranks. formerly trading @ SIG, analytics @Browns, Co-President @HarvardChess @Harvard_Sports '21 Philly/NYC Joined January 2019

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Ella Papanek @chexmatrix

3 weeks ago

Every person on this airplane is super intently studying the safety information card during the demo. I feel like I’m on a hidden camera show

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Jared Strober @jstrobes

4 weeks ago

Just one week until @chexmatrix and I take the stage at @bet_bash! What’s the one question you’ve always wanted answered about market making in sports betting? #betbash #sportsbetting

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Ella Papanek @chexmatrix

2 months ago

Would you rather own x% of a startup that you think has y% chance of success or y% of a startup with x% chance of success? Assume x < y < 5 and "success" magnitude is equivalent

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Prediction markets let you bet on outcomes, but so much more is possible. This paper introduces Multiverse Finance, which splits the financial system into parallel universes so you can short the market today, but only if your candidate is going to lose the next election. 1/

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Chess.com @chesscom

6 months ago

We’re thrilled to share that there will be a chess panel at the 2025 MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference! Chess.com’s CCO, Danny Rensch be joined by Alexandra Botez, Levy Rozman, Daryl Morey, and Ella Papanek to go over all things chess, with the focus of…

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Crossing Broad @CrossingBroad

7 months ago

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Ella Papanek @chexmatrix

a year ago

aaaand it’s over. short stack shoved from UTG, I called with A8o putting me all in. He had J10s, paired his Jack.

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Ella Papanek @chexmatrix

a year ago

Color up break, short stack (15BB), need to double up soon :/

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Ella Papanek @chexmatrix

a year ago

New table. Sitting around 50k after the second break. (40k starting stack)

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Ella Papanek @chexmatrix

a year ago

At the break in Colossus flight B: around starting stack. so far we’ve seen appearances from ⁃Hidden camera glasses ⁃Resistance bands ⁃Nail clippers

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Ella Papanek @chexmatrix

a year ago

Sitting at roughly starting stack at the break. Couple big stacks at the table

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Ella Papanek @chexmatrix

a year ago

Busted in ladies event. Got short stacked pretty quick … Straight > set of aces. A 10 J 9 A board. Will rebuy, still early

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Ella Papanek @chexmatrix

a year ago

Will be posting WSOP updates & chip counts here for the next few days

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Jrfortgang @throwthedamball

a year ago

Assume you are a sharp NFL originator. You make a price Monday, sharp book makes a price Monday. Accounting for all games (injuries, weather, etc) what % of time do you anticipate the sharp book closes in your original prices direction?