covid19sitrep @covid19sitrep
A log of my (@michael_nielsen) daily dashboard of covid-19 indicators Avatar by CDC / Alissa Eckert / Dan Higgins, no affiliation to this a/c San Francisco Joined March 2020-
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Covid19 update thread for 06-29-2020 Overall US total tests, positive results, deaths, and hospitalizations (where available) Based on @COVID19Tracking data
Note that the big spike earlier in the week was due to an anomaly in the data, with some states (Delaware and AZ, I believe) correcting earlier undercounting.
Note that the big spike earlier in the week was due to an anomaly in the data, with some states (Delaware and AZ, I believe) correcting earlier undercounting.
Covid19 update thread for 06-27-2020 Overall US total tests, positive results, deaths, and hospitalizations (where available) Based on @COVID19Tracking data
Covid19 update thread for 06-20-2020 Overall US total tests, positive results, deaths, and hospitalizations (where available) Based on @COVID19Tracking data
Covid19 update thread for 06-19-2020 Overall US total tests, positive results, deaths, and hospitalizations (where available) Based on @COVID19Tracking data
Covid19 update thread for 06-18-2020 Overall US total tests, positive results, deaths, and hospitalizations (where available) Based on @COVID19Tracking data
Covid19 update thread for 06-16-2020 Overall US total tests, positive results, deaths, and hospitalizations (where available) Based on @COVID19Tracking data
Covid19 update thread for 06-15-2020 Overall US total tests, positive results, deaths, and hospitalizations (where available) Based on @COVID19Tracking data
Covid19 update thread for 06-10-2020 Overall US total tests, positive results, deaths, and hospitalizations (where available) Based on @COVID19Tracking data
Covid19 update thread for 06-08-2020 Overall US total tests, positive results, deaths, and hospitalizations (where available) Based on @COVID19Tracking data
Covid19 update thread for 06-05-2020 Overall US total tests, positive results, deaths, and hospitalizations (where available) Based on @COVID19Tracking data
Covid19 update thread for 06-04-2020 Overall US total tests, positive results, deaths, and hospitalizations (where available) Based on @COVID19Tracking data
Covid19 update thread for 06-03-2020 Overall US total tests, positive results, deaths, and hospitalizations (where available) Based on @COVID19Tracking data
Covid19 update thread for 06-02-2020 Overall US total tests, positive results, deaths, and hospitalizations (where available) Based on @COVID19Tracking data
Covid19 update thread for 06-01-2020 Overall US total tests, positive results, deaths, and hospitalizations (where available) Based on @COVID19Tracking data
Covid19 update thread for 05-30-2020 Overall US total tests, positive results, deaths, and hospitalizations (where available) Based on @COVID19Tracking data
Covid19 update thread for 05-29-2020 Overall US total tests, positive results, deaths, and hospitalizations (where available) Based on @COVID19Tracking data
Covid19 update thread for 05-28-2020 Overall US total tests, positive results, deaths, and hospitalizations (where available) Based on @COVID19Tracking data
Chris Hayes @chrislhayes
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The 'friendship paradox' is a nice introduction to the quirks of network dynamics - as well as having a directly analogy with a key concept in epidemiology. More here: x.com/adamjkucharski…
Des Higham wrote a wonderfully clear paper about why our friends tend to be more popular, on average, than we are. It follows from Cauchy-Schwarz inequality! Then he generalizes this “friendship paradox” to importance (measured by eigenvector centrality). academic.oup.com/comnet/article…
Friendship paradox in sociology vs effective contact rate in epidemiology:
Compare the derivation in Feld (Am J Soc, 1991) with May & Anderson (Phil Trans R Soc B, 1988). Fascinating to see how two different fields identified the same quirk, finding very different (and subsequently highly influential) applications.
@covid19sitrep FYI, I produce this figure daily. Feel free to use it, always at this address: osf.io/83cwk/
@covid19sitrep Haha I was just grateful to find data that isn't *years* old.
@covid19sitrep That animation would help people avoid making this sort of error: x.com/mlevitt_np2013… Any data viz wiz's reading this?
That is most interesting. Have you analyzed in detail the data in "Excess_Deaths_Associated_with_COVID-19.csv" that is available from cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr… ? I was about to do so but have too much else to do right now
@covid19sitrep Wouldn't be great if we could see this graph animated with past daily updates, and how the most recent 0–8 weeks of data are still wiggling but older data aren't? 😍
I think these are the two most important graphs to understand the ongoing pandemic crisis in USA: cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr… (note the caveats about data lag of 1–8 weeks) /cc @covid19sitrep
@covid19sitrep This is fantastic data, friend. Thank you! N.B. You misspelled Louisiana.
Hard to say until Tuesdays numbers but maybe we have peaked.
@covid19sitrep Last two weeks of daily fatalities for the US.
@covid19sitrep This could also be partly because they are hospitalizing a smaller fraction of the cases than before. It may not necessarily be bad news, as long as everyone who really needs it still gets a bed. But it may not necessarily be good news.
@edpalermoRPI @CT_Bergstrom Yep. These are similar to the plots @covid19sitrep has been posting on a daily-ish basis. National curves run parallel: x.com/covid19sitrep/… Worst-hit states get "pinched" at the top: x.com/covid19sitrep/…
@covid19sitrep Total tested, positives, deaths, & hospitalization data (where available) in the 9 states with highest positive case counts
@zooko @covid19sitrep @hungryblank @patrissimo @GabbyMcNabb @WilliamAEden @balajis @rabois @justinowings @TaylorPearsonMe @ArthurB @ChrisLundkvist @EconTalker Exactly. For now it’s not that much worse than a bad flu, but only due to a total lockdown for a full month. And even so it’s still threatening to be very bad in total in a few weeks.
@covid19sitrep @hungryblank @patrissimo @GabbyMcNabb @WilliamAEden @balajis @rabois @justinowings @TaylorPearsonMe @ArthurB @ChrisLundkvist @EconTalker @mrabkin On the dark side, look at the shape of that line! If it's gonna curve sharply down in the next couple weeks then great — the scourge of death that Italians have suffered is about as bad as the 2016/17 flu season. But if it keeps going up like the current line…scary. ៚
@covid19sitrep @hungryblank @patrissimo @GabbyMcNabb @WilliamAEden @balajis @rabois @justinowings @TaylorPearsonMe @ArthurB @ChrisLundkvist @EconTalker @mrabkin On the bright side, the current data doesn't show mortality much worse than a flu season. See for example this data from Italy showing current excess mortality about as bad as the 2016/17 flu season. But…
@covid19sitrep @rekoske @COVID19Tracking Right, like Texas: covidtracking.com/data/state/tex…
⚠️NEW TYPE OF TEST APPROVED, called a serology test, would be able to identify past #COVID19 infections, and hence it can test for potential immunity. cnn.com/2020/04/02/hea…
I get the feeling that everyone talking about serology for #COVID19 has never worked in a routine infectious disease serology lab. Often interpretation requires repeat samples and supplementary testing- I promise you, it’s not always that cut and dried.
The happiest I have been in weeks - I just got a call from Mt Sinai and I get to go give my blood plasma next week. If you are fully recovered from coronavirus, please email: [email protected]. I feel like I just won the lottery honestly
Michigan continues to be a real trouble spot and now has the third highest number of confirmed cases (after NY and NJ), crossing 10,000 total today. (We don't know nearly enough about their testing regime in the state, either.)
Wow! Great to finally see this. Improvised masks are far better than nothing. #Masks4All is working. If you must go outside for work or something essential, wear a mask. More info at masks4all.co on how to make a DIY mask and the scientific rationale.
We have new guidance for New Yorkers: We're advising New Yorkers to wear a face covering when you go outside and near others. It can be a scarf, a bandana or one you make at home. But PLEASE: save medical masks for our health care workers & first responders who truly need them.
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