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Verifying myself: I am cs224 on Keybase.io. Vb35zXOAG8GRixt5zoPnW4bzCQqn7pQ2PiQs / keybase.io/cs224/sigs/Vb3…
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cs2243 retweeted
OK, let me write a thread, with some numerical experiments, about the influence of the social graph structure on the attack rate of epidemics (attack rate = number of people infected during the epidemic). ⤵️ •1/42
cs2243 retweeted
Has #italystaystrong passed the peak of new #coronavirus cases? Where are #spain and #germany headed? See the numbers behind the stories in my updated analysis with improved predictions and error bounds: mlnoga.github.io/covid19-analys…. #covid19 #covid_19 #covidー19 #datascience
cs2243 retweeted
Overcoming Bias (robinhanson): "Beware R0 Variance" ift.tt/39BtWdH
cs2243 retweeted
Good news from Imperial: the interventions are having an effect. Bad news: Almost every European country has an R0 value that's above 1 in expectation Other bad news: R0 for covid-19 with no interventions is about 4. imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial…
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